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Mel Collins
Inactive 23m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Longsword
Current
1229
#421
Peak
1270
April 2024
Record
19W · 33L
Last
September 2024
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
799
Peak
822
January 2024
Record
19W · 33L
Last
January 2024
Scout analysis
Longsword
18W · 31L (37%)
Longsword
18W · 31L (37%)
Form
Rising
Recent 54% vs older 21%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 54% vs older 21%
Record: 18W · 31L (37%)
Recent half (24 fights): 54%
Older half (24 fights): 21%
Delta: +33%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 49 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Punching up
-4.6 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
-4.6 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 3
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 3
Over/under vs expectation:
-4.6
(8 actual / 12.6 expected, n=31)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
12 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Fast starter
12 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 1.89
Avg exchanges / match: 10.1
Doubles / match: 1.58
First scorer rate: 75%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 0%
Comeback wins (was behind): 100%
Stage
Balanced
Pool 37% · Elim 36%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 37% · Elim 36%
Pool stage: 14W · 24L (37%)
Elimination: 4W · 7L (36%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
40 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
40 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1229
Peak rating: 1270 (April 2024)
Gap to peak: -40
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Underrepresented Genders Steel Longsword
13W · 13L
(50%)
-2.4 vs expectation
(n=15)
avg opponent 1216
Mixed Steel Longsword
2W · 14L
(13%)
-0.3 vs expectation
(n=11)
avg opponent 1233
+7 fights in 2 thinner divisions
Messer
1W · 4L (20%)
Messer
1W · 4L (20%)
Form
Building
20% win rate · 5 fights
▾
Form
Building
20% win rate · 5 fights
Record: 1W · 4L (20%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 5 recorded messer fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 25%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 25%
Pool stage: 1W · 3L (25%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
8 events · us · 2.4 yrs active
Single-weapon
▾
Reach
8 events · us · 2.4 yrs active
Single-weapon
Tournaments: 8
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 29
Fights / year: 22.3
Rated weapons: 1
Clubmates
·
Ars Gladii●
(36)
- Katina Dunham●
- Tyler Dunham●
- Jack Seyler●
- Jacob Pigeon●
- Brandon Nguyen●
- Sean Franklin●
- Joseph Zagroba●
- Darren Stewart●
- Michael Nordby●
- Joseph Mundo●
- Landen Kirkland●
- Lexy Seiler●
- Thomas Nagle●
- Christopher Morgan●
- Terrie Chen●
- Alanna Punch●
- Alex Revels●
- Ian Kaferle●
- Lexi Seiler●
- Albert McKenzie●
- Patrick Linford●
- Caleb Taylor●
- James Watkins●
- Charles Griffin●
- Josh Little●
- Thomas Nowak●
- Malibu Palubicki●
- Drew Wunderlich●
- Stanley Putnam●
- Will Huynh●
- Ray Crane●
- Scott Carter●
- Ethan Warner●
- Nathan McDonnell●
- Anne Kubis●
- Jason Roggenbuck●
Events & fights
(8)
AG Open 2024●
September 2024 · us
11 fights
▾
September 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Longsword Rank 224 ▼21 · 1,254.6
LOSS
1124 49%
LOSS
Kaitlyn Rose●
·
Dueling Weapons Academy of Renaissance Fencing●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 7-11
Review →
1095 56%
WIN
Andi Nealon●
·
Atlanta Historical Fencing Academy●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 10-8 · 2 doubles
Review →
840 81%
LOSS
Kaitlin McClendon●
·
Austin Historical Weapons Guild●
Messer
· Pool Set 1
Score 2-3 · 3 doubles
Review →
Ladies Knight 2024●
April 2024 · us
9 fights
▾
April 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Longsword Rank 176 ▲18 · 1,270.4
LOSS
835 71%
Midwinter Armizare Open 2024●
January 2024 · us
4 fights
▾
January 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 3820 ▲224 · 822.5
Duel Against the Darkness 2023●
June 2023 · us
11 fights
▾
June 2023 · us
Rating outcome
- Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Longsword Rank 136 ▲52 · 1,251.7
LOSS
1559 27%
Ladies Knight 2023●
April 2023 · us
6 fights
▾
April 2023 · us
Rating outcome
- Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Longsword Rank 181 · 1,153.1
Midwinter Armizare Open 2023●
January 2023 · us
3 fights
▾
January 2023 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2695 ▼131 · 671.4
Crossroads 2022●
September 2022 · us
6 fights
▾
September 2022 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2239 ▼146 · 692.2
AG Open 2022●
April 2022 · us
4 fights
▾
April 2022 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1554 · 709.3
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.