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Marco Pavanello
Inactive 95m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger
Inactive
Current
1467
Peak
1547
November 2018
Record
16W · 12L · 1D
Last
November 2018
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1419
Peak
1518
November 2018
Record
31W · 13L
Last
November 2018
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Inactive
Current
1309
Peak
1395
November 2018
Record
16W · 12L · 1D
Last
November 2018
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Inactive
Current
1460
Peak
1556
April 2018
Record
21W · 6L
Last
April 2018
Scout analysis
Longsword
31W · 13L (70%)
Longsword
31W · 13L (70%)
Form
Rising
Recent 77% vs older 64%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 77% vs older 64%
Record: 31W · 13L (70%)
Recent half (22 fights): 77%
Older half (22 fights): 64%
Delta: +13%
Current streak: 3 Wins
Based on 44 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Punching up
+2.5 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
+2.5 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Over/under vs expectation:
+2.5
(14 actual / 11.5 expected, n=22)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 100% · Elim 60%
▾
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 100% · Elim 60%
Pool stage: 9W · 0L (100%)
Elimination: 3W · 2L (60%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
99 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
99 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1419
Peak rating: 1518 (November 2018)
Gap to peak: -99
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Rapier
16W · 12L · 1D (55%)
Rapier
16W · 12L · 1D (55%)
Form
Rising
Recent 71% vs older 43%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 71% vs older 43%
Record: 16W · 12L · 1D (55%)
Recent half (14 fights): 71%
Older half (14 fights): 43%
Delta: +28%
Current streak: 3 Wins
Based on 29 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Punching up
+0.4 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
+0.4 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Over/under vs expectation:
+0.4
(4 actual / 3.6 expected, n=8)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 83% · Elim 33%
▾
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 83% · Elim 33%
Pool stage: 5W · 1L (83%)
Elimination: 1W · 2L (33%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
79 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
79 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1467
Peak rating: 1547 (November 2018)
Gap to peak: -79
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Sword & Buckler
21W · 6L (78%)
Sword & Buckler
21W · 6L (78%)
Form
Steady
Recent 85% vs older 77%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 85% vs older 77%
Record: 21W · 6L (78%)
Recent half (13 fights): 85%
Older half (13 fights): 77%
Delta: +8%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 27 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
+1.6 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
+1.6 vs expectation
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under vs expectation:
+1.6
(8 actual / 6.4 expected, n=11)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 100% · Elim 67%
▾
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 100% · Elim 67%
Pool stage: 6W · 0L (100%)
Elimination: 4W · 2L (67%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
96 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
96 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1460
Peak rating: 1556 (April 2018)
Gap to peak: -96
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Rapier & Dagger
13W · 8L (62%)
Rapier & Dagger
13W · 8L (62%)
Form
Rising
Recent 70% vs older 50%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 70% vs older 50%
Record: 13W · 8L (62%)
Recent half (10 fights): 70%
Older half (10 fights): 50%
Delta: +20%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 21 recorded rapier & dagger fights.
Schedule
Punching up
+2 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
+2 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 2
Over/under vs expectation:
+2
(6 actual / 4 expected, n=9)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 67% · Elim 75%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 67% · Elim 75%
Pool stage: 2W · 1L (67%)
Elimination: 3W · 1L (75%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Smallsword
2W · 2L (50%)
Smallsword
2W · 2L (50%)
Form
Building
50% win rate · 4 fights
▾
Form
Building
50% win rate · 4 fights
Record: 2W · 2L (50%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 4 recorded smallsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
Pool stage: 2W · 2L (50%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
11 events · 4 countries · 2.4 yrs active
3 rated weapons
▾
Reach
11 events · 4 countries · 2.4 yrs active
3 rated weapons
Tournaments: 11
Countries fought in: 4 (fr, gr, it, pt)
Months active: 29
Fights / year: 51.7
Rated weapons: 3
Clubmates
·
ASD Scherma Storica Pavia●
(12)
Events & fights
(11)
14 fights
▾
11 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 273 · 1,249.5
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 67 · 1,040.8
8 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 269 ▲105 · 1,325.9
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 74 ▲10 · 1,141.0
14 fights
▾
11 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 190 ▲129 · 1,443.8
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 34 · 1,421.5
9 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 65 ▲35 · 1,288.8
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 42 ▼8 · 1,403.6
12 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 190 ▲129 · 1,443.8
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 34 · 1,421.5
LOSS
1540 31%
10 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 265 ▲35 · 1,518.8
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 112 ▲56 · 1,395.7
15 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 46 ▲25 · 1,547.0
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 112 ▲56 · 1,395.7
12 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 273 ▲35 · 1,468.0
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 45 ▲31 · 1,507.0
WIN
Eleonora Manoni●
·
Sala d'Arme Achille Marozzo Romagna●
Sword & Buckler
· Final 3° - 4° place
921 65%
9 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 232 ▲52 · 1,506.5
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 35 ▲14 · 1,556.3
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.