Checking for newer data...
Newer data is available for this fighter.
Lars Lykta
Inactive 112m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1201
Peak
1330
June 2016
Record
11W · 12L
Last
May 2017
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Inactive
Current
1188
Peak
1269
June 2016
Record
4W · 4L · 2D
Last
June 2016
Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger
Inactive
Current
970
Peak
1054
June 2016
Record
0W · 0L
Last
June 2016
Scout analysis
Longsword
11W · 12L (48%)
Longsword
11W · 12L (48%)
Form
Rising
Recent 55% vs older 45%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 55% vs older 45%
Record: 11W · 12L (48%)
Recent half (11 fights): 55%
Older half (11 fights): 45%
Delta: +10%
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 23 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-1.3 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-1.3 vs expectation
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 3
Over/under vs expectation:
-1.3
(7 actual / 8.3 expected, n=17)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
128 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
128 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1201
Peak rating: 1330 (June 2016)
Gap to peak: -128
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Men's Steel Longsword
9W · 10L
(47%)
-1.3 vs expectation
(n=17)
avg opponent 1343
+4 fights in 1 thinner division
Sabre
4W · 4L · 2D (40%)
Sabre
4W · 4L · 2D (40%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 20% vs older 60%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 20% vs older 60%
Record: 4W · 4L · 2D (40%)
Recent half (5 fights): 20%
Older half (5 fights): 60%
Delta: -40%
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 10 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
81 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
81 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1188
Peak rating: 1269 (June 2016)
Gap to peak: -81
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Rapier & Dagger
2W · 5L (29%)
Rapier & Dagger
2W · 5L (29%)
Form
Building
29% win rate · 7 fights
▾
Form
Building
29% win rate · 7 fights
Record: 2W · 5L (29%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 7 recorded rapier & dagger fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
5 events · 3 countries · 2.6 yrs active
3 rated weapons
▾
Reach
5 events · 3 countries · 2.6 yrs active
3 rated weapons
Tournaments: 5
Countries fought in: 3 (se, fi, no)
Months active: 31
Fights / year: 15.5
Rated weapons: 3
Clubmates
·
Stockholms Stigmän●
(11)
Events & fights
(5)
13 fights
▾
5 fights
▾
9 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 124 · 1,134.7
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 19 · 1,237.3
7 fights
▾
6 fights
▾
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.