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Thomas Arthur Naylor

Inactive 107m

Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1224
Peak
1314 October 2017
Record
11W · 9L
Last
October 2017
Mixed & Men's Singlestick
Inactive
Current
986
Peak
1040 October 2017
Record
2W · 3L
Last
October 2017

Scout analysis

Longsword

11W · 9L (55%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 40% vs older 70%
Record: 11W · 9L (55%)
Recent half (10 fights): 40%
Older half (10 fights): 70%
Delta: -30%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 20 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Comfort bracket
-1.4 vs expectation
Over/under vs expectation: -1.4 (2 actual / 3.4 expected, n=7)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
89 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1224
Peak rating: 1314 (October 2017)
Gap to peak: -89
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword 10W · 6L (63%) -1.4 vs expectation (n=7) avg opponent 1348
+4 fights in 1 thinner division

Singlestick

2W · 3L (40%)
Form
Building
40% win rate · 5 fights
Record: 2W · 3L (40%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 5 recorded singlestick fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
54 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 986
Peak rating: 1040 (October 2017)
Gap to peak: -54
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
4 events · 2 countries · 1.3 yrs active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 4
Countries fought in: 2 (se, uk)
Months active: 16
Fights / year: 18.8
Rated weapons: 2

Clubmates · The Institute for Historical Arts (36)

Events & fights (4)

Swordfish 2016
November 2016 · se
No match-level data
4 fights
LOSS
Micha Morales · MARS Longsword
1446 49%
Edgebana 2016
July 2016 · uk
No match-level data
7 fights
Sweden Open 2016
June 2016 · se
No match-level data
4 fights
Edgebana 2017
October 2017 · uk
No match-level data
10 fights
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.