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Derek Estes
Inactive 41m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
960
#5,741
Peak
966
December 2025
Record
3W · 7L
Last
December 2025
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Inactive
Current
1174
Peak
1195
April 2023
Record
2W · 2L
Last
April 2023
Scout analysis
Longsword
3W · 7L (30%)
Longsword
3W · 7L (30%)
Form
Rising
Recent 40% vs older 20%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 40% vs older 20%
Record: 3W · 7L (30%)
Recent half (5 fights): 40%
Older half (5 fights): 20%
Delta: +20%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 10 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Comfort bracket
-2.1 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Comfort bracket
-2.1 vs expectation
Over/under vs expectation:
-2.1
(1 actual / 3.1 expected, n=6)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
Pool stage: 3W · 6L (33%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 960
Peak rating: 966 (December 2025)
Gap to peak: -6
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Sword & Buckler
2W · 2L (50%)
Sword & Buckler
2W · 2L (50%)
Form
Building
50% win rate · 4 fights
▾
Form
Building
50% win rate · 4 fights
Record: 2W · 2L (50%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 4 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
Pool stage: 2W · 2L (50%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
20 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
20 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1174
Peak rating: 1195 (April 2023)
Gap to peak: -20
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Mixed Weapon
2W · 0L (100%)
Mixed Weapon
2W · 0L (100%)
Form
Building
100% win rate · 2 fights
▾
Form
Building
100% win rate · 2 fights
Record: 2W · 0L (100%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 2 recorded mixed weapon fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
2 events · us · 2.8 yrs active
2 rated weapons
▾
Reach
2 events · us · 2.8 yrs active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 2
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 33
Fights / year: 5.8
Rated weapons: 2
Clubmates
·
Brandr Combat Academy●
(13)
Events & fights
(2)
December to Dismember 2025●
December 2025 · us
7 fights
▾
December 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 5084 ▲321 · 966.7
Aegis Spring Tournament 2023●
April 2023 · us
9 fights
▾
April 2023 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2459 · 944.7
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 333 · 1,195.7
LOSS
LOSS
Julian Rodriguez●
·
Aegis Historical Combat Training●
Sword & Buckler
· Pool Set 1
Score 6-8
Review →
WIN
Julian Rodriguez●
·
Aegis Historical Combat Training●
Mixed Weapon
· Gold Medal Match
Score 6-8
Review →
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.