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Lydia MacKay
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Current
1166
#1,441
Peak
1330
April 2023
Record
15W · 32L · 1D
Last
April 2026
Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Sabre
Regional
Current
822
#310
Peak
823
April 2026
Record
15W · 32L · 1D
Last
April 2026
Scout analysis
Sabre
15W · 32L · 1D (31%)
Sabre
15W · 32L · 1D (31%)
Form
Steady
Recent 29% vs older 33%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 29% vs older 33%
Record: 15W · 32L · 1D (31%)
Recent half (24 fights): 29%
Older half (24 fights): 33%
Delta: -4%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 48 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-4.5 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-4.5 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 2
Over/under vs expectation:
-4.5
(5 actual / 9.5 expected, n=21)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Measured
3 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Measured
3 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 1.22
Avg exchanges / match: 3.7
Doubles / match: 0
First scorer rate: 33%
Stage
Knockout killer
Pool 26% · Elim 50%
▾
Stage
Knockout killer
Pool 26% · Elim 50%
Pool stage: 10W · 28L (26%)
Elimination: 2W · 2L (50%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
164 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
164 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1166
Peak rating: 1330 (April 2023)
Gap to peak: -164
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
By division
Mixed Steel Sabre
9W · 19L · 1D
(31%)
-4.1 vs expectation
(n=13)
avg opponent 1224
Underrepresented Genders Steel Sabre
1W · 9L
(10%)
avg opponent 1086
Mixed Steel Sabre (Tier B)
5W · 4L
(56%)
-0.3 vs expectation
(n=5)
avg opponent 1100
Smallsword
1W · 10L · 2D (8%)
Smallsword
1W · 10L · 2D (8%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 0% vs older 17%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 0% vs older 17%
Record: 1W · 10L · 2D (8%)
Recent half (6 fights): 0%
Older half (6 fights): 17%
Delta: -17%
Current streak: 8 Losses
Based on 13 recorded smallsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 9%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 9%
Pool stage: 1W · 10L (9%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
By division
Mixed Steel Smallsword
0W · 8L
(0%)
+5 fights in 1 thinner division
Reach
5 events · 2 countries · 3.1 yrs active
Single-weapon
▾
Reach
5 events · 2 countries · 3.1 yrs active
Single-weapon
Tournaments: 5
Countries fought in: 2 (us, ca)
Months active: 37
Fights / year: 19.8
Rated weapons: 1
Clubmates
·
Athena School of Arms●
(95)
- Nathan Weston●
- Julie Gaunt●
- Steven Hirsch●
- Kathryn Ledbetter●
- Robyn Alman●
- Fernan Gomez-Monedero●
- Faoila Andrews●
- Eva Arnason●
- Micha Rieser●
- Katherine Coyle●
- Meng Lin●
- Emily Crandall Fleischman●
- Juliana de Groot●
- Andrew Costenoble●
- Henry Treadwell●
- Andrew Kilgore●
- Camilla Elvis●
- Nic Shepard●
- Brendan McKenna●
- Dylan Hoffmann●
- Eileen Parks●
- Adriana Knight●
- Duane Kristensen●
- Murphy Barrett●
- Colleen Cannon●
- Joseph Giuliano●
- Samantha Karpinski●
- Jack Jiang●
- Benjamin McLean●
- Chris Osmecki●
- Daniel Flaherty●
- Logan Traynor●
- Jared Garfinkel●
- John Racine●
- Yichu Jiang●
- Jacob LaRocca●
- Andre Evard●
- Samuel Marsh●
- John Scudder●
- Lauren Dushay●
- Charlie Deichmann●
- Tyler Caron●
- Gurer Ozen●
- Josh Walczak●
- Kenneth Hogan●
- Amanda Pitcher●
- Marcia Brown●
- Matthew Coyle●
- Miranda Dobbs●
- Zaira Boylan●
- Karl Salvatore●
- Donald Black●
- Abraham Moshekh●
- Bode Taylor●
- Cole Taylor●
- Eric Pinnick●
- Iris McNeely●
- Joseph Lewis●
- Katja Poppenhaeger●
- Kent Hatton●
- Michael Baker●
- Mars Bell●
- Alex Summerton●
- Anna Hostetler●
- Caroline Richardson●
- Martin Cooper●
- Matej Mavricek●
- George Taranowski●
- Roman Chen●
- Will McKeon-White●
- Hannah Doane●
- Joseph Davis●
- Peter Edwards●
- Jessica Keegan●
- Kevin O'Hara●
- Liam Wheldon●
- Mac Miller●
- Ting Hsu●
- Zhiwei Chen●
- Finn McDonough●
- Scott Edwards●
- Susan Buzzard●
- Corin McLean●
- Jacob Lee●
- Julie Olsen●
- Maura Hausman●
- Andrew Powers●
- Andy Rosequist●
- Cori McLean●
- Micha Reiser●
- Michael Goldstein●
- Steven Hartwell●
- Brendan Taranowski●
- Mike Baker●
- Scott Riley●
Events & fights
(6)
15 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 1434 ▲218 · 1,167.6
- Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Sabre Rank 307 ▲15 · 823.3
9 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Sabre Rank 268 · 747.8
LOSS
Jaimie-Lynn Leblanc-Ykema●
·
Club d'escrime Historique Destreza Nova Laval●
Smallsword
· Elim Pool 1
Boar's Tooth 2025●
August 2025 · us
10 fights
▾
August 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 1346 ▼74 · 1,119.7
9 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 633 ▼289 · 1,145.9
Arsenal Assault of Arms 2023●
April 2023 · us
10 fights
▾
April 2023 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 235 · 1,330.4
BHL April 2026○
April 2026
No match-level data
8 fights
▾
April 2026
No match-level data
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.
Regional At least one of this fighter's ratings is "island" - their rank/percentile is relative to an isolated regional scene, not the global population. Cross-scene rating comparisons are unreliable.