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Jay Eric Noyes

Castle Tintagel · United States
Inactive 15m

Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Regional
Current
1504 #683
Peak
1516 June 2025
Record
10W · 3L
Last
June 2025
Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Regional
Current
1340 #374
Peak
1349 June 2025
Record
4W · 2L
Last
June 2025
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Inactive
Current
1263
Peak
1288 June 2023
Record
4W · 2L
Last
June 2023

Scout analysis

Longsword

10W · 3L (77%)
Form
Rising
Recent 100% vs older 67%
Record: 10W · 3L (77%)
Recent half (6 fights): 100%
Older half (6 fights): 67%
Delta: +33%
Current streak: 6 Wins
Based on 13 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
+0.3 vs expectation
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under vs expectation: +0.3 (3 actual / 2.7 expected, n=5)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 83% · Elim 50%
Pool stage: 5W · 1L (83%)
Elimination: 2W · 2L (50%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1504
Peak rating: 1516 (June 2025)
Gap to peak: -12
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.

Rapier & Dagger

5W · 2L (71%)
Form
Building
71% win rate · 7 fights
Record: 5W · 2L (71%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 3 Wins
Based on 7 recorded rapier & dagger fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 67% · Elim 67%
Pool stage: 2W · 1L (67%)
Elimination: 2W · 1L (67%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.

Rapier

4W · 2L (67%)
Form
Building
67% win rate · 6 fights
Record: 4W · 2L (67%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 3 Wins
Based on 6 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 67%
Pool stage: 2W · 1L (67%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1340
Peak rating: 1349 (June 2025)
Gap to peak: -8
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
Reach
2 events · tw · 2 yrs active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 2
Countries fought in: 1 (tw)
Months active: 24
Fights / year: 13
Rated weapons: 2

Clubmates · Castle Tintagel (9)

Events & fights (2)

Clash of Steel 2025
June 2025 · tw
No match-level data
15 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 512 ▲991 · 1,516.6
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 282 · 1,349.0
LOSS
Yeo Yong Jun · Wayfarers Longsword · Gold Final
1614 45%
WIN
WIN
1323 51%
WIN
1049 63%
WIN
Katsumi Tanaka · Castle Tintagel Longsword · Top14
1477 45%
WIN
LOSS
Lee Smith · Blood and Iron Martial Arts Rapier & Dagger · Gold Final
1387
WIN
Clash of Steel 2023
June 2023 · tw
No match-level data
11 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 826 · 1,346.0
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 250 · 1,288.6
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.

Regional At least one of this fighter's ratings is "island" - their rank/percentile is relative to an isolated regional scene, not the global population. Cross-scene rating comparisons are unreliable.