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Kevin Blair

Laurel City Historical Fencing● · United States
Inactive 27m
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Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1214
Peak
1252 September 2023
Record
9W · 7L · 2D
Last
June 2024

Scout analysis

Longsword

9W · 7L · 2D (50%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 44% vs older 56%
▾
Record: 9W · 7L · 2D (50%)
Recent half (9 fights): 44%
Older half (9 fights): 56%
Delta: -12%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 18 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-1.5 vs expectation
▾
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 3
Over/under vs expectation: -1.5 (4 actual / 5.5 expected, n=9)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 56%
▾
Pool stage: 9W · 7L (56%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
37 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Current rating: 1214
Peak rating: 1252 (September 2023)
Gap to peak: -37
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword (Tier B) 4W · 5L · 1D (40%) -1.5 vs expectation (n=9) avg opponent 1204
Mixed Steel Longsword (Tier C) 5W · 2L · 1D (63%) avg opponent 753
Reach
2 events · us · 9 mo active
Single-weapon
▾
Tournaments: 2
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 9
Fights / year: 24
Rated weapons: 1

Clubmates · Laurel City Historical Fencing● (19)

Events & fights (2)

Iron Gate Exhibition Spring 2024●
June 2024 · us
No match-level data
10 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1675 ▼120 · 1,239.5
LOSS
Faoila Andrews● · Athena School of Arms● Longsword · Pool 1
1089 61%
LOSS
Hugh Maiocco● · Massachusetts Historical Swordsmanship● Longsword · Pool 1
WIN
David Lillethun● · Boston Armizare● Longsword · Pool 1
1086 73%
DRAW
Samuel Young● · Forte Swordplay● Longsword · Pool 1
1111 61%
LOSS
Jim Ng● · Long Island Historical Fencing Society● Longsword · Pool 1
1091 67%
WIN
Joe DeMartino● · Boston Armizare● Longsword · Pool 2
1276 59%
LOSS
Sean Heraty● · Moose Historical Fencing● Longsword · Pool 2
1516 38%
WIN
Jacob Beaumont● · Massachusetts Historical Swordsmanship● Longsword · Pool 2
1056 67%
LOSS
Andrew Costenoble● · Athena School of Arms● Longsword · Pool 2
1237 65%
WIN
Joe DeMartino● · Boston Armizare● Longsword · Pool 2
1276 59%
Iron Gate Exhibition 2023●
September 2023 · us
No match-level data
8 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1288 · 1,252.5
LOSS
Samantha Karpinski● · Athena School of Arms● Longsword · Pool 4
LOSS
Rowan Etzel● · Moose Historical Fencing● Longsword · Pool 4
WIN
Zachary Fournier● · Boston Armizare● Longsword · Pool 4
WIN
John Walker● · Laurel City Historical Fencing● Longsword · Pool 4
704
DRAW
Joe DeMartino● · Boston Armizare● Longsword · Pool 8
WIN
Ben Kissinger● · New Haven Historical Fencing● Longsword · Pool 8
WIN
Read Ruddick● · Black Cat Historical Fencing● Longsword · Pool 8
WIN
Abby Rodriguez● · Western Swordsmanship Technique and Research● Longsword · Pool 8
801
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.