Hayden Spence

Terra Nova School of Sword● · Canada

Inactive 39m

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Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword

Inactive

Current

1284

Peak

1308 May 2023

Record

4W · 1L · 1D

Last

May 2023

Scout analysis

Longsword

4W · 1L · 1D (67%)

Form

Building

67% win rate · 6 fights

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Record: 4W · 1L · 1D (67%)

Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.

Current streak: 1 Loss

Based on 6 recorded longsword fights.

Schedule

Schedule forming

Expectation data pending

▾

Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.

Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.

Style

Building signal

Needs more exchange data

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Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.

Stage

Pool data only

Pool 80%

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Pool stage: 4W · 1L (80%)

Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.

Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.

Peak

23 pts off peak

Currently below peak

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Current rating: 1284

Peak rating: 1308 (May 2023)

Gap to peak: -23

Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Reach

1 event · ca

Single-weapon

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Tournaments: 1

Countries fought in: 1 (ca)

Rated weapons: 1

Clubmates · Terra Nova School of Sword● (12)

Events & fights (1)

Montreal Sword Meisters 2023●

May 2023 · ca

No match-level data

6 fights ▾

Rating outcome

Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 945 · 1,308.2

WIN

Andrew Costenoble● · Athena School of Arms● Longsword · POOL3

1037

WIN

Anna Thompson● · Dueling Weapons Academy of Renaissance Fencing● Longsword · POOL3

1035

WIN

Carole Faucher● · Bataireacht and Historical Fencing Faction● Longsword · POOL3

WIN

Jeremy Rappel● · La Compagnie Médiévale● Longsword · POOL3

LOSS

Callum Carmichael● · Bataireacht and Historical Fencing Faction● Longsword · POOLC

1271

DRAW

Manuel Mineau● · La Compagnie Médiévale● Longsword · POOLC

1293

How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.