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Toby Lunn
Inactive 53m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1650
Peak
1715
August 2018
Record
37W · 9L · 2D
Last
April 2022
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Inactive
Current
1088
Peak
1144
July 2019
Record
4W · 4L
Last
July 2019
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Inactive
Current
1165
Peak
1447
January 2018
Record
0W · 0L
Last
March 2018
Scout analysis
Longsword
37W · 9L · 2D (77%)
Longsword
37W · 9L · 2D (77%)
Form
Rising
Recent 83% vs older 71%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 83% vs older 71%
Record: 37W · 9L · 2D (77%)
Recent half (24 fights): 83%
Older half (24 fights): 71%
Delta: +12%
Current streak: 4 Wins
Based on 48 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
+3.5 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
+3.5 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 2
Over/under vs expectation:
+3.5
(26 actual / 22.5 expected, n=35)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 92% · Elim 60%
▾
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 92% · Elim 60%
Pool stage: 23W · 2L (92%)
Elimination: 6W · 4L (60%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
65 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
65 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1650
Peak rating: 1715 (August 2018)
Gap to peak: -65
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Sidesword
5W · 5L (50%)
Sidesword
5W · 5L (50%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 20% vs older 80%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 20% vs older 80%
Record: 5W · 5L (50%)
Recent half (5 fights): 20%
Older half (5 fights): 80%
Delta: -60%
Current streak: 4 Losses
Based on 10 recorded sidesword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 2
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Knockout killer
Pool 43% · Elim 67%
▾
Stage
Knockout killer
Pool 43% · Elim 67%
Pool stage: 3W · 4L (43%)
Elimination: 2W · 1L (67%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Rapier
4W · 4L (50%)
Rapier
4W · 4L (50%)
Form
Steady
Recent 50% vs older 50%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 50% vs older 50%
Record: 4W · 4L (50%)
Recent half (4 fights): 50%
Older half (4 fights): 50%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 8 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
Pool stage: 4W · 4L (50%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
55 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
55 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1088
Peak rating: 1144 (July 2019)
Gap to peak: -55
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
+8 fights in 2 thinner divisions
Mixed Weapon
4W · 2L · 1D (57%)
Mixed Weapon
4W · 2L · 1D (57%)
Form
Building
57% win rate · 7 fights
▾
Form
Building
57% win rate · 7 fights
Record: 4W · 2L · 1D (57%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 7 recorded mixed weapon fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 75%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 75%
Pool stage: 3W · 1L (75%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
7 events · au · 5.7 yrs active
3 rated weapons
▾
Reach
7 events · au · 5.7 yrs active
3 rated weapons
Tournaments: 7
Countries fought in: 1 (au)
Months active: 68
Fights / year: 12.9
Rated weapons: 3
Clubmates
·
Big Tree Combat Academy●
(13)
Events & fights
(7)
7 fights
▾
Sydney Super Series 2022●
April 2022 · au
4 fights
▾
April 2022 · au
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 37 ▲15 · 1,703.4
WIN
1354 70%
Sword Fight V 2019●
July 2019 · au
4 fights
▾
July 2019 · au
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 396 ▲38 · 1,144.2
9 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 51 ▲20 · 1,699.3
1st HERA Event 2018●
August 2018 · au
8 fights
▾
August 2018 · au
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 45 ▲6 · 1,715.0
WIN
1855 32%
LOSS
1486 78%
20 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 55 ▲119 · 1,656.0
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 225 · 1,115.2
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 185 ▼116 · 1,233.7
21 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 166 ▲383 · 1,524.0
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 63 · 1,447.0
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.