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Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1312
Peak
1477 September 2017
Record
10W · 5L
Last
October 2017
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Inactive
Current
949
Peak
1024 October 2017
Record
4W · 9L
Last
October 2017
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Inactive
Current
886
Peak
938 September 2017
Record
1W · 2L
Last
September 2017

Scout analysis

Longsword

10W · 5L (67%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 43% vs older 86%
Record: 10W · 5L (67%)
Recent half (7 fights): 43%
Older half (7 fights): 86%
Delta: -43%
Current streak: 3 Losses
Based on 15 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-0.9 vs expectation
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under vs expectation: -0.9 (2 actual / 2.9 expected, n=5)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
165 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1312
Peak rating: 1477 (September 2017)
Gap to peak: -165
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Sword & Buckler

4W · 9L (31%)
Form
Rising
Recent 50% vs older 17%
Record: 4W · 9L (31%)
Recent half (6 fights): 50%
Older half (6 fights): 17%
Delta: +33%
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 13 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
74 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 949
Peak rating: 1024 (October 2017)
Gap to peak: -74
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
+13 fights in 2 thinner divisions

Mixed Weapon

2W · 7L (22%)
Form
Steady
Recent 25% vs older 25%
Record: 2W · 7L (22%)
Recent half (4 fights): 25%
Older half (4 fights): 25%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 9 recorded mixed weapon fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Any Steel One-Handed Weapon With Any Sidearm 2W · 6L (25%)
+1 fight in 1 thinner division

Rapier

1W · 2L (33%)
Form
Building
33% win rate · 3 fights
Record: 1W · 2L (33%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 3 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
52 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 886
Peak rating: 938 (September 2017)
Gap to peak: -52
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
3 events · au · 1 yrs active
3 rated weapons
Tournaments: 3
Countries fought in: 1 (au)
Months active: 12
Fights / year: 40
Rated weapons: 3

Clubmates · House Darksun (12)

Events & fights (3)

War in the West 2016
October 2016 · au
No match-level data
16 fights
Swordplay Australia 2017
September 2017 · au
No match-level data
15 fights
War in the West 2017
October 2017 · au
No match-level data
9 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 346 ▼141 · 1,394.0
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 256 ▲87 · 1,024.0
LOSS
1187 67%
LOSS
WIN
Sean Archer · House Darksun Sword & Buckler
WIN
LOSS
Ryan Thomson · House Darksun Sword & Buckler
WIN
Robert Thomson · House Darksun Sword & Buckler
LOSS
Peter Shaw · House Darksun Sword & Buckler
LOSS
1417 19%
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.