Checking for newer data...
Newer data is available for this fighter.
Colin Michaud
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Current
1308
#895
Peak
1479
March 2026
Record
8W · 6L · 1D
Last
June 2026
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
1183
#3,347
Peak
1185
November 2025
Record
4W · 5L · 1D
Last
June 2026
Scout analysis
Sabre
8W · 6L · 1D (53%)
Sabre
8W · 6L · 1D (53%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 29% vs older 86%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 29% vs older 86%
Record: 8W · 6L · 1D (53%)
Recent half (7 fights): 29%
Older half (7 fights): 86%
Delta: -57%
Current streak: 3 Losses
Based on 15 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-2.9 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-2.9 vs expectation
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 4
Over/under vs expectation:
-2.9
(4 actual / 6.9 expected, n=11)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 40%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 40%
Pool stage: 2W · 3L (40%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
170 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
170 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1308
Peak rating: 1479 (March 2026)
Gap to peak: -170
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
+15 fights in 4 thinner divisions
Longsword
4W · 5L · 1D (40%)
Longsword
4W · 5L · 1D (40%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 20% vs older 60%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 20% vs older 60%
Record: 4W · 5L · 1D (40%)
Recent half (5 fights): 20%
Older half (5 fights): 60%
Delta: -40%
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 10 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 57%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 57%
Pool stage: 4W · 3L (57%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1183
Peak rating: 1185 (November 2025)
Gap to peak: -2
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
+10 fights in 2 thinner divisions
Mixed Weapon
0W · 3L (0%)
Mixed Weapon
0W · 3L (0%)
Form
Building
0% win rate · 3 fights
▾
Form
Building
0% win rate · 3 fights
Record: 0W · 3L (0%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 3 Losses
Based on 3 recorded mixed weapon fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 0%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 0%
Pool stage: 0W · 3L (0%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
5 events · ca · 7 mo active
2 rated weapons
▾
Reach
5 events · ca · 7 mo active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 5
Countries fought in: 1 (ca)
Months active: 7
Fights / year: 48
Rated weapons: 2
Clubmates
·
Wolves Den Historical Fencing●
(21)
- Adam Van Ael●
- Jay Maes●
- Mark Peters●
- Jack Buffie●
- Cody Pierson●
- Robert Hamilton●
- Rory Jackson●
- Eric Elloway●
- Steve Gregg●
- Jordan Kostelnyk●
- Ashley Cels●
- Bryce Mclean●
- Devon Hodinott●
- Elaina Desrochers●
- Elise Cela●
- Nick Drescher●
- Rosemary Steiner●
- Breanden Flynn●
- Zifeng Meng●
- Aodhan Moisey●
- Mark Stow●
Events & fights
(6)
9 fights
▾
4 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 489 ▼133 · 1,426.5
3 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 348 ▲161 · 1,479.6
5 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2958 · 1,185.1
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 490 · 1,401.4
4 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2958 · 1,185.1
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 490 · 1,401.4
Manitoba Winter HEMA Championship 2025○
December 2025
No match-level data
3 fights
▾
December 2025
No match-level data
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.