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Matthew Ely
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger
Current
1217
#552
Peak
1218
April 2026
Record
0W · 0L
Last
April 2026
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Current
1211
#833
Peak
1213
February 2026
Record
4W · 3L
Last
February 2026
Scout analysis
Smallsword
1W · 6L · 2D (11%)
Smallsword
1W · 6L · 2D (11%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 0% vs older 25%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 0% vs older 25%
Record: 1W · 6L · 2D (11%)
Recent half (4 fights): 0%
Older half (4 fights): 25%
Delta: -25%
Current streak: 6 Losses
Based on 9 recorded smallsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Measured
6 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Measured
6 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 4.56
Avg exchanges / match: 6.8
Doubles / match: 0.5
First scorer rate: 50%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 0%
Comeback wins (was behind): 0%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 17%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 17%
Pool stage: 1W · 5L (17%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Rapier & Dagger
3W · 3L · 2D (38%)
Rapier & Dagger
3W · 3L · 2D (38%)
Form
Rising
Recent 50% vs older 25%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 50% vs older 25%
Record: 3W · 3L · 2D (38%)
Recent half (4 fights): 50%
Older half (4 fights): 25%
Delta: +25%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 8 recorded rapier & dagger fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
4 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Fast starter
4 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 1.65
Avg exchanges / match: 7
Doubles / match: 0
First scorer rate: 75%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 0%
Comeback wins (was behind): 100%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
Pool stage: 2W · 2L (50%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Rapier
4W · 3L (57%)
Rapier
4W · 3L (57%)
Form
Building
57% win rate · 7 fights
▾
Form
Building
57% win rate · 7 fights
Record: 4W · 3L (57%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 7 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Measured
6 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Measured
6 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 2.25
Avg exchanges / match: 6
Doubles / match: 0.5
First scorer rate: 50%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 0%
Comeback wins (was behind): 100%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 67%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 67%
Pool stage: 4W · 2L (67%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
2 events · us · 2 mo active
Single-weapon
▾
Reach
2 events · us · 2 mo active
Single-weapon
Tournaments: 2
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 2
Fights / year: 144
Rated weapons: 1
Clubmates
·
Ludus Ferocia Historical Combat●
(10)
Events & fights
(3)
Kings Cup Series Rapier & Dagger 2026●
April 2026 · us
8 fights
▾
April 2026 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 561 · 1,218.1
DRAW
1018
WIN
James Darling●
·
Metropolitan Historical Fencing Academy●
Rapier & Dagger
· Pools
Score 5-3
Review →
1394
DRAW
ARFL January 2026●
February 2026 · us
7 fights
▾
February 2026 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 813 · 1,213.9
WIN
1095
ARFL March Madness 2026○
March 2026
No match-level data
9 fights
▾
March 2026
No match-level data
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.