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Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Inactive
Current
1470
Peak
1548 March 2017
Record
9W · 3L
Last
March 2017
Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger
Inactive
Current
1196
Peak
1250 March 2017
Record
9W · 3L
Last
March 2017
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Inactive
Current
1328
Peak
1395 March 2016
Record
0W · 0L
Last
March 2016

Scout analysis

Rapier

9W · 3L (75%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 67% vs older 83%
Record: 9W · 3L (75%)
Recent half (6 fights): 67%
Older half (6 fights): 83%
Delta: -16%
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 12 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Punching up
+2.1 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Over/under vs expectation: +2.1 (5 actual / 2.9 expected, n=5)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 100%
Pool stage: 3W · 0L (100%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
77 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1470
Peak rating: 1548 (March 2017)
Gap to peak: -77
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Sidesword

4W · 1L (80%)
Form
Building
80% win rate · 5 fights
Record: 4W · 1L (80%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 5 recorded sidesword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 100%
Pool stage: 3W · 0L (100%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Rapier & Dagger

3W · 1L (75%)
Form
Building
75% win rate · 4 fights
Record: 3W · 1L (75%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 4 recorded rapier & dagger fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
2 events · it · 1 yrs active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 2
Countries fought in: 1 (it)
Months active: 12
Fights / year: 21
Rated weapons: 2

Clubmates · Asociación Española de Esgrima Antigua (11)

Events & fights (2)

AIMA Roma 2017
March 2017 · it
No match-level data
11 fights
AIMA 2016
March 2016 · it
No match-level data
10 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 15 · 1,374.2
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 23 · 1,395.4
WIN
LOSS
WIN
1256
WIN
WIN
Alessio Ceccarelli Rapier · Pools
WIN
Kristine Rinka · HEMA Riga Sidesword · Pools
1474
WIN
Alessio Ceccarelli Sidesword · Quarter finals
LOSS
1165
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.