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Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Inactive
Current
1402
Peak
1428 June 2023
Record
7W · 4L · 1D
Last
June 2023
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1211
Peak
1242 June 2023
Record
7W · 10L · 2D
Last
June 2023

Scout analysis

Longsword

7W · 10L · 2D (37%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 33% vs older 44%
Record: 7W · 10L · 2D (37%)
Recent half (9 fights): 33%
Older half (9 fights): 44%
Delta: -11%
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 19 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Comfort bracket
-0.3 vs expectation
Over/under vs expectation: -0.3 (2 actual / 2.3 expected, n=5)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 43%
Pool stage: 3W · 4L (43%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
31 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1211
Peak rating: 1242 (June 2023)
Gap to peak: -31
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Rapier

8W · 5L · 1D (57%)
Form
Steady
Recent 57% vs older 57%
Record: 8W · 5L · 1D (57%)
Recent half (7 fights): 57%
Older half (7 fights): 57%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 14 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 70%
Pool stage: 7W · 3L (70%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Sword & Buckler

7W · 4L · 1D (58%)
Form
Rising
Recent 83% vs older 33%
Record: 7W · 4L · 1D (58%)
Recent half (6 fights): 83%
Older half (6 fights): 33%
Delta: +50%
Current streak: 5 Wins
Based on 12 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 88% · Elim 0%
Pool stage: 7W · 1L (88%)
Elimination: 0W · 3L (0%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
26 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1402
Peak rating: 1428 (June 2023)
Gap to peak: -26
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Mixed Weapon

0W · 1L (0%)
Form
Building
0% win rate · 1 fights
Record: 0W · 1L (0%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 1 recorded mixed weapon fight.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
2 events · au · 6.3 yrs active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 2
Countries fought in: 1 (au)
Months active: 75
Fights / year: 7.4
Rated weapons: 2

Clubmates · Ursa Major HEMA Academy (50)

Events & fights (2)

War in the West 2023
June 2023 · au
36 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1254 ▲378 · 1,242.7
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 152 · 1,428.8
WIN
WIN
Minh Nguyen · Hanoi HEMA Club Longsword · Pools
924 63%
DRAW
LOSS
1295 48%
LOSS
1708 24%
WIN
1117 54%
DRAW
LOSS
1397 43%
LOSS
LOSS
Jim Campbell · Ursa Major HEMA Academy Sword & Buckler · Finals
1668
LOSS
Mark Holgate · Adelaide Sword Academy Sword & Buckler · Finals
1612
LOSS
David Critchley · Ursa Major HEMA Academy Sword & Buckler · Finals
1176
WIN
Joshua Fisher · Ursa Major HEMA Academy Sword & Buckler · Pools
WIN
Jacinta Critchley · Ursa Major HEMA Academy Sword & Buckler · Pools
LOSS
Mark Holgate · Adelaide Sword Academy Sword & Buckler · Pools
1612
WIN
Simon Airey · Ursa Major HEMA Academy Sword & Buckler · Pools
WIN
Toby Whitnall · Ursa Major HEMA Academy Sword & Buckler · Pools
WIN
Jacinta Critchley · Ursa Major HEMA Academy Sword & Buckler · Pools
WIN
Ben Brash · Aiginskalk Sword & Buckler · Pools
WIN
Tamara Selge · Scholar Victoria Sword & Buckler · Pools
DRAW
Jim Campbell · Ursa Major HEMA Academy Sword & Buckler · Pools
1668
LOSS
Mark Holgate · Adelaide Sword Academy Mixed Weapon · Pool Set 1
WIN
Mark Holgate · Adelaide Sword Academy Rapier · Decider 3rd place
DRAW
LOSS
LOSS
WIN
Victor Ngo · Scholar Victoria Rapier · Pools
WIN
LOSS
LOSS
LOSS
Festival of the Sword '17
April 2017 · au
No match-level data
10 fights
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.