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Matthijs Pals

MARS · Netherlands
Inactive 87m

Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
950
Peak
1025 July 2019
Record
5W · 12L · 1D
Last
July 2019

Scout analysis

Longsword

5W · 12L · 1D (28%)
Form
Rising
Recent 33% vs older 22%
Record: 5W · 12L · 1D (28%)
Recent half (9 fights): 33%
Older half (9 fights): 22%
Delta: +11%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 18 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Punching up
-1.4 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Over/under vs expectation: -1.4 (2 actual / 3.4 expected, n=8)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 50% · Elim 0%
Pool stage: 5W · 5L (50%)
Elimination: 0W · 3L (0%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
74 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 950
Peak rating: 1025 (July 2019)
Gap to peak: -74
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword 3W · 10L (23%) -1.3 vs expectation (n=5) avg opponent 1150
+5 fights in 1 thinner division
Reach
4 events · nl · 1.8 yrs active
Single-weapon
Tournaments: 4
Countries fought in: 1 (nl)
Months active: 21
Fights / year: 10.3
Rated weapons: 1

Clubmates · MARS (59)

Events & fights (4)

HEFFAC 2017
October 2017 · nl
No match-level data
4 fights
Nederlandse HEMA Kampioenschappen 2019: Evenement 3
July 2019 · nl
No match-level data
5 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2249 ▲352 · 1,025.2
LOSS
Eline Spek · Zwaard & Steen Longsword · Eighthfinal 2
1193 31%
WIN
709 54%
LOSS
Jarno de Heus · De Zwaardkring Longsword · Pool 4
DRAW
Eline Spek · Zwaard & Steen Longsword · Pool 4
1193 31%
Nederlandse HEMA Kampioenschappen 2019: Evenement 2
April 2019 · nl
No match-level data
4 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2541 ▼139 · 954.5
LOSS
Alexey Rodriguez Blanter · Zwaard & Steen Longsword · Eighthfinal 6
980 52%
LOSS
821 55%
WIN
LOSS
Luc van Beek · Zwaard & Steen Longsword · Pool 2
1128 42%
Nederlandse HEMA Kampioenschappen 2019: Evenement 1
January 2019 · nl
No match-level data
5 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2339 ▲588 · 977.9
WIN
1190 38%
LOSS
Luc van Beek · Zwaard & Steen Longsword · Pool 1
1083 40%
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.