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Mateusz Fornal

Fencing Arts · Poland
Inactive 106m

Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Inactive
Current
1252
Peak
1330 November 2017
Record
6W · 4L · 1D
Last
November 2017
Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger
Inactive
Current
1107
Peak
1170 February 2017
Record
0W · 0L
Last
February 2017

Scout analysis

Sabre

6W · 4L · 1D (55%)
Form
Steady
Recent 60% vs older 60%
Record: 6W · 4L · 1D (55%)
Recent half (5 fights): 60%
Older half (5 fights): 60%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 11 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
78 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1252
Peak rating: 1330 (November 2017)
Gap to peak: -78
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Rapier & Dagger

3W · 2L (60%)
Form
Building
60% win rate · 5 fights
Record: 3W · 2L (60%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 5 recorded rapier & dagger fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
2 events · pl · 9 mo active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 2
Countries fought in: 1 (pl)
Months active: 9
Fights / year: 21.3
Rated weapons: 2

Events & fights (2)

PL HEMA League: Ligowy Turniej Szabli i Rapiera 2017
November 2017 · pl
No match-level data
5 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 106 ▲19 · 1,330.4
PL HEMA League: Durchschlag 2017
February 2017 · pl
No match-level data
11 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 73 · 1,279.2
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 121 · 1,170.3
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.