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Manuel Ongil Peñalver

100Tolos HEMA · Spain
Inactive 96m

Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Inactive
Current
1452
Peak
1531 October 2018
Record
15W · 5L
Last
October 2018
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Inactive
Current
1277
Peak
1351 October 2018
Record
7W · 6L
Last
October 2018

Scout analysis

Rapier

15W · 5L (75%)
Form
Rising
Recent 80% vs older 70%
Record: 15W · 5L (75%)
Recent half (10 fights): 80%
Older half (10 fights): 70%
Delta: +10%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 20 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-0.1 vs expectation
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under vs expectation: -0.1 (6 actual / 6.1 expected, n=10)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Elim data only
Elim 50%
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: 2W · 2L (50%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
79 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1452
Peak rating: 1531 (October 2018)
Gap to peak: -79
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Sword & Buckler

7W · 6L (54%)
Form
Rising
Recent 67% vs older 50%
Record: 7W · 6L (54%)
Recent half (6 fights): 67%
Older half (6 fights): 50%
Delta: +17%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 13 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Comfort bracket
+0.2 vs expectation
Over/under vs expectation: +0.2 (3 actual / 2.8 expected, n=6)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Elim data only
Elim 50%
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: 2W · 2L (50%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
73 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1277
Peak rating: 1351 (October 2018)
Gap to peak: -73
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
3 events · es · 11 mo active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 3
Countries fought in: 1 (es)
Months active: 11
Fights / year: 36
Rated weapons: 2

Clubmates · 100Tolos HEMA (28)

Events & fights (3)

2º Torneo Vila de Redondela 2018
October 2018 · es
No match-level data
14 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 37 ▲40 · 1,531.5
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 159 ▲121 · 1,351.3
WIN
1080 79%
WIN
1352 62%
LOSS
1422 55%
WIN
1352 62%
LOSS
1542 34%
WIN
975 64%
LOSS
1479 34%
WIN
1217 56%
LOSS
Manuel Alvarez Vilariño · Esgrima Antiga Pontevedra Sword & Buckler · Quarter Final
1320 42%
WIN
Gema Miguez Rodriguez · Sala Viguesa de Esgrima Antiga Sword & Buckler · Round of sixteen
1274 50%
VII Torneo de Naron 2018
January 2018 · es
No match-level data
13 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 41 ▲17 · 1,435.1
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 186 · 1,206.0
LOSS
1137 62%
LOSS
1377 53%
LOSS
Daniel Lopez Varela · 100Tolos HEMA Rapier · Quarter Final
1581 42%
WIN
1213 61%
LOSS
1263
LOSS
1328
LOSS
Daniel Lopez Varela · 100Tolos HEMA Sword & Buckler · Quarter Final
1479
WIN
Ruben Martin Pereira · Sala Viguesa de Esgrima Antiga Sword & Buckler · Round of sixteen
1136
I Torneo Vila de Redondela 2017
November 2017 · es
No match-level data
6 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 51 · 1,390.6
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.