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Joni Karjalainen

Oulun Miekkailuseura● · Finland
Inactive 134m
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Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
997
Peak
1138 January 2015
Record
4W · 8L · 1D
Last
September 2015

Scout analysis

Longsword

4W · 8L · 1D (31%)
Form
Steady
Recent 33% vs older 33%
▾
Record: 4W · 8L · 1D (31%)
Recent half (6 fights): 33%
Older half (6 fights): 33%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 13 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-1.2 vs expectation
▾
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under vs expectation: -1.2 (1 actual / 2.2 expected, n=5)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
141 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Current rating: 997
Peak rating: 1138 (January 2015)
Gap to peak: -141
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword 3W · 5L · 1D (33%) avg opponent 1278
+4 fights in 1 thinner division
Reach
3 events · fi · 1.7 yrs active
Single-weapon
▾
Tournaments: 3
Countries fought in: 1 (fi)
Months active: 20
Fights / year: 7.8
Rated weapons: 1

Clubmates · Oulun Miekkailuseura● (19)

Events & fights (3)

Helsinki Longsword Open 2015●
January 2015 · fi
No match-level data
4 fights ▾
LOSS
Ties Kool● · Historisch Vrijvechten Nederland● Longsword
1625 25%
LOSS
Knut Bonan● · Bergen HEMA● Longsword
1385 41%
WIN
Jens Träff● · Örebro HEMA● Longsword
1091 54%
DRAW
Tapio Väänänen● · EHMS● Longsword
Jyväskylän Pitkämiekka 2015●
September 2015 · fi
No match-level data
4 fights ▾
LOSS
Markus Koivisto● · EHMS● Longsword
820 73%
LOSS
Juuso Koivunen● · Jyväskylä Academy of Historical Martial Arts● Longsword
WIN
Otto Koskinen● · EHMS● Longsword
LOSS
Kalle Kylmänen● · EHMS● Longsword
1514 28%
Helsinki Longsword Open 2014●
January 2014 · fi
No match-level data
5 fights ▾
LOSS
Nicolas Gallardo● · Gothenburg Historical Fencing School● Longsword
1394
LOSS
Knut Bonan● · Bergen HEMA● Longsword
1312
WIN
Valentyn Volkov● · Københavns Historiske Fægteklub● Longsword
861
WIN
Marcos Ariño● · Historisch Vrijvechten Nederland● Longsword
LOSS
Martin Kirk Bonde● · Københavns Historiske Fægteklub● Longsword
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.