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Gonçalo Graça

Thomar Honoris · Portugal
Inactive 82m

Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1114
Peak
1244 May 2019
Record
11W · 13L
Last
November 2019
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Inactive
Current
888
Peak
944 May 2018
Record
1W · 4L
Last
May 2018

Scout analysis

Longsword

11W · 13L (46%)
Form
Steady
Recent 50% vs older 42%
Record: 11W · 13L (46%)
Recent half (12 fights): 50%
Older half (12 fights): 42%
Delta: +8%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 24 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-1.7 vs expectation
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 2
Over/under vs expectation: -1.7 (3 actual / 4.7 expected, n=11)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 100% · Elim 50%
Pool stage: 3W · 0L (100%)
Elimination: 2W · 2L (50%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
129 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1114
Peak rating: 1244 (May 2019)
Gap to peak: -129
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword 7W · 12L (37%) -1.7 vs expectation (n=11) avg opponent 1287
+5 fights in 1 thinner division

Rapier

1W · 4L (20%)
Form
Building
20% win rate · 5 fights
Record: 1W · 4L (20%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 5 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
55 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 888
Peak rating: 944 (May 2018)
Gap to peak: -55
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
3 events · 2 countries · 1.5 yrs active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 3
Countries fought in: 2 (es, pt)
Months active: 18
Fights / year: 19.3
Rated weapons: 2

Clubmates · Thomar Honoris (4)

Events & fights (3)

II Torneio de Esgrima Histórica Thomar
November 2019 · pt
No match-level data
11 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1561 ▼245 · 1,188.1
III Torneo de Esgrima Historica de Pontevedra
May 2019 · es
No match-level data
7 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1187 ▲700 · 1,244.4
WIN
1148 56%
WIN
988 61%
LOSS
1090 58%
WIN
1211 42%
LOSS
Daniel Lopez Varela · 100Tolos HEMA Longsword · Poule 2
1725 18%
LOSS
1517 26%
WIN
Torneo Pontevedra
May 2018 · es
No match-level data
11 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1455 · 1,101.7
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 357 · 944.3
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.