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Sebastian Alejandro Estivill Bustillos

Inactive 101m

Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1274
Peak
1329 May 2018
Record
6W · 3L
Last
December 2021
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Inactive
Current
930
Peak
962 December 2021
Record
1W · 3L
Last
December 2021
Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger
Inactive
Current
1357
Peak
1417 May 2018
Record
0W · 0L
Last
May 2018

Scout analysis

Longsword

6W · 3L (67%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 50% vs older 75%
Record: 6W · 3L (67%)
Recent half (4 fights): 50%
Older half (4 fights): 75%
Delta: -25%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 9 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 80%
Pool stage: 4W · 1L (80%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
54 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1274
Peak rating: 1329 (May 2018)
Gap to peak: -54
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Rapier & Dagger

4W · 1L · 1D (67%)
Form
Building
67% win rate · 6 fights
Record: 4W · 1L · 1D (67%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 4 Wins
Based on 6 recorded rapier & dagger fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Elim data only
Elim 67%
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: 2W · 1L (67%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Sabre

1W · 3L (25%)
Form
Building
25% win rate · 4 fights
Record: 1W · 3L (25%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 4 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
31 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 930
Peak rating: 962 (December 2021)
Gap to peak: -31
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
2 events · 2 countries · 3.7 yrs active
3 rated weapons
Tournaments: 2
Countries fought in: 2 (ca, uk)
Months active: 44
Fights / year: 5.2
Rated weapons: 3

Clubmates · Asociación Mexicana de Esgrima Antigua (1)

Events & fights (2)

Wessex League 2021
December 2021 · uk
8 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 520 ▲27 · 1,311.9
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 419 · 962.0
LOSS
1347 65%
WIN
WIN
1277 68%
LOSS
Tim Fuke · London Longsword Academy Longsword · Round 4
1566 45%
LOSS
1230
WIN
LOSS
1371
LOSS
Montréal Sword Meisters 2018
May 2018 · ca
No match-level data
11 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 623 · 1,329.3
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 80 · 1,417.4
LOSS
WIN
LOSS
Alexandre Dionne · A.M.H.E. Rimouski Rapier & Dagger · 1/2 final
WIN
1252
WIN
1361
WIN
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.