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Paul Grayson

Thetford Sword Club● · United Kingdom
Inactive 41m
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Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1086
Peak
1121 April 2023
Record
7W · 21L
Last
April 2023

Scout analysis

Longsword

7W · 21L (25%)
Form
Rising
Recent 43% vs older 7%
▾
Record: 7W · 21L (25%)
Recent half (14 fights): 43%
Older half (14 fights): 7%
Delta: +36%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 28 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Punching up
+0.2 vs expectation
▾
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 3
Over/under vs expectation: +0.2 (4 actual / 3.8 expected, n=14)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 24% · Elim 33%
▾
Pool stage: 6W · 19L (24%)
Elimination: 1W · 2L (33%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
35 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Current rating: 1086
Peak rating: 1121 (April 2023)
Gap to peak: -35
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
5 events · uk · 5 yrs active
Single-weapon
▾
Tournaments: 5
Countries fought in: 1 (uk)
Months active: 60
Fights / year: 5.6
Rated weapons: 1

Clubmates · Thetford Sword Club● (3)

Events & fights (5)

Wolf Call II 2023●
April 2023 · uk
No match-level data
5 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1657 ▲802 · 1,121.9
WIN
Patrick Lawton● · London Historical Fencing Club● Longsword · Pool E
1299 23%
WIN
Sam Pearson● · Mercian Medieval Fight Club● Longsword · Pool E
1292 22%
WIN
Alex Young● · The School of Historical Combat● Longsword · Pool E
WIN
Sam Eade● · Wolfshead Western Martial Arts● Longsword · Quarter Finals
1195 27%
LOSS
Patrick Lawton● · London Historical Fencing Club● Longsword · Semi Finals
1299 23%
Wessex League: Cambridge 2019●
December 2019 · uk
4 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2788 ▲128 · 960.9
WIN
Mark West● · The 1595 Club Basse Marche● Longsword · Pool Set 1
902 44%
LOSS
Dan Powell● · London Historical Fencing Club● Longsword · Pool Set 1
1199 28%
LOSS
Zoltan Betlen● · Cambridge HEMA● Longsword · Pool Set 1
1398 15%
LOSS
Nick Laing● · The Institute for Historical Arts● Longsword · Pool Set 1
1389 16%
Exeter Longsword Competition 2019●
February 2019 · uk
6 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2521 ▼11 · 947.1
LOSS
David Aston● · Taunton Longswords● Longsword · Elimination Bracket
LOSS
David Aston● · Taunton Longswords● Longsword · Pool Set 1
LOSS
Luke Murdock● · Wardens of the Tor● Longsword · Pool Set 1
1047 37%
LOSS
Nick Laing● · The Institute for Historical Arts● Longsword · Pool Set 1
1321 23%
LOSS
Thomas Pittwood● · The Iron Door Collective● Longsword · Pool Set 1
1233 30%
WIN
Henry Jones● · Cambridge HEMA● Longsword · Pool Set 1
Wessex League: London Chapter 2018●
September 2018 · uk
No match-level data
4 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2308 ▼251 · 948.2
LOSS
Leo Brown● · Virtus Sword School● Longsword · Pool 7
LOSS
Edmund Withnell● · Order of the Blade● Longsword · Pool 7
1412 21%
LOSS
Mark Brown● · Taunton Longswords● Longsword · Pool 7
1019 45%
LOSS
Amir Sheikh-Warak● · Schola Gladiatoria● Longsword · Pool 7
1391 24%
The May Melee 2018●
May 2018 · uk
No match-level data
9 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1950 · 982.7
LOSS
James Allen● · Mercian Medieval Fight Club● Longsword · Pool 2
WIN
Alejandro Cortes-Garcia● · The Iron Door Collective● Longsword · Pool 2
988
LOSS
Daniel Jones● · Edel Fencing Academy● Longsword · Pool 2
1240
LOSS
Bart Jongsma● · Historisch Vrijvechten Nederland● Longsword · Pool 2
1501
LOSS
Alexander Makarov● · Tempus Fugitives● Longsword · Pool 2
1666
LOSS
Jasper Olthof● · MARS● Longsword · Pool 2
1285
LOSS
Amir Sheikh-Warak● · Schola Gladiatoria● Longsword · Pool 2
1379
LOSS
Robert Williams● · The School of the Sword● Longsword · Pool 2
1216
LOSS
Edmund Withnell● · Order of the Blade● Longsword · Pool 2
1377
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.