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Jan Pavelka
Inactive 94m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
1073
#4,289
Peak
1083
September 2025
Record
10W · 18L · 1D
Last
September 2025
Mixed & Men's Singlestick
Inactive
Current
1270
Peak
1323
December 2018
Record
4W · 2L
Last
December 2018
Scout analysis
Longsword
10W · 18L · 1D (34%)
Longsword
10W · 18L · 1D (34%)
Form
Rising
Recent 43% vs older 29%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 43% vs older 29%
Record: 10W · 18L · 1D (34%)
Recent half (14 fights): 43%
Older half (14 fights): 29%
Delta: +14%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 29 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-4.5 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-4.5 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 3
Over/under vs expectation:
-4.5
(3 actual / 7.5 expected, n=18)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 40%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 40%
Pool stage: 10W · 15L (40%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1073
Peak rating: 1083 (September 2025)
Gap to peak: -10
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword
6W · 10L · 1D
(35%)
-1.7 vs expectation
(n=10)
avg opponent 1238
+12 fights in 2 thinner divisions
Singlestick
4W · 2L (67%)
Singlestick
4W · 2L (67%)
Form
Building
67% win rate · 6 fights
▾
Form
Building
67% win rate · 6 fights
Record: 4W · 2L (67%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 6 recorded singlestick fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 80%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 80%
Pool stage: 4W · 1L (80%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
53 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
53 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1270
Peak rating: 1323 (December 2018)
Gap to peak: -53
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
6 events · uk · 6.8 yrs active
2 rated weapons
▾
Reach
6 events · uk · 6.8 yrs active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 6
Countries fought in: 1 (uk)
Months active: 82
Fights / year: 5.1
Rated weapons: 2
Clubmates
·
Glasgow University Historical Swordsmanship●
(10)
Events & fights
(6)
Edgebana 2025●
September 2025 · uk
5 fights
▾
September 2025 · uk
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 3818 ▲287 · 1,083.8
LOSS
1231 32%
LOSS
1468 14%
Albion Cup 2025●
June 2025 · uk
6 fights
▾
June 2025 · uk
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 3966 ▲38 · 1,051.2
6 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 4004 ▼388 · 1,039.9
4 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1674 ▲293 · 1,082.0
4 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2318 ▼72 · 1,014.8
10 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2074 · 1,029.6
- Mixed & Men's Singlestick Rank 85 · 1,323.3
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.