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Mariya Elpaeva

Challenge · Russia
Inactive 86m

Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Inactive
Current
1126
Peak
1166 September 2019
Record
2W · 1L · 1D
Last
September 2019
Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger
Inactive
Current
1126
Peak
1185 November 2018
Record
2W · 1L · 1D
Last
September 2019
Women's Steel Sabre
Inactive
Current
1027
Peak
1112 November 2018
Record
7W · 13L · 6D
Last
September 2019
Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Sabre
Inactive
Current
1027
Peak
1112 November 2018
Record
7W · 13L · 6D
Last
September 2019
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Inactive
Current
985
Peak
1099 November 2018
Record
7W · 13L · 6D
Last
September 2019

Scout analysis

Sabre

9W · 18L · 11D (24%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 16% vs older 32%
Record: 9W · 18L · 11D (24%)
Recent half (19 fights): 16%
Older half (19 fights): 32%
Delta: -16%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 38 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-4.1 vs expectation
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 3
Over/under vs expectation: -4.1 (3 actual / 7.1 expected, n=14)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
Pool stage: 6W · 12L (33%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
85 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1027
Peak rating: 1112 (November 2018)
Gap to peak: -85
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Women's Steel Sabre 4W · 10L · 10D (17%) -2.1 vs expectation (n=8) avg opponent 1160
Mixed Steel Sabre 5W · 8L · 1D (36%) -2 vs expectation (n=6) avg opponent 984

Other

3W · 8L · 1D (25%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 17% vs older 33%
Record: 3W · 8L · 1D (25%)
Recent half (6 fights): 17%
Older half (6 fights): 33%
Delta: -16%
Current streak: 5 Losses
Based on 12 recorded fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 0%
Pool stage: 0W · 3L (0%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
+12 fights in 2 thinner divisions

Rapier & Dagger

5W · 4L (56%)
Form
Steady
Recent 50% vs older 50%
Record: 5W · 4L (56%)
Recent half (4 fights): 50%
Older half (4 fights): 50%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 9 recorded rapier & dagger fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 63%
Pool stage: 5W · 3L (63%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Rapier

2W · 1L · 1D (50%)
Form
Building
50% win rate · 4 fights
Record: 2W · 1L · 1D (50%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 4 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
39 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1126
Peak rating: 1166 (September 2019)
Gap to peak: -39
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
3 events · ru · 1.4 yrs active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 3
Countries fought in: 1 (ru)
Months active: 17
Fights / year: 44.5
Rated weapons: 2

Clubmates · Challenge (16)

Events & fights (3)

Ufa Duel Fencing Tournament
September 2019 · ru
No match-level data
25 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 596 ▼74 · 1,048.7
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 332 ▼14 · 1,178.1
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 381 · 1,166.6
  • Women's Steel Sabre Rank 46 ▼6 · 1,087.5
  • Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Sabre Rank 46 ▼6 · 1,087.5
WIN
Igor Astashov · Varga Rapier & Dagger · Pools
WIN
Sergey Radishevskiy · HEMA Academy Rapier & Dagger · Pools
LOSS
Andrey Kalinin · VALOR Rapier & Dagger · Pools
LOSS
Anastasia Matiushina · FFC Paladin Rapier & Dagger · Pools
1153 68%
WIN
Ekaterina Pyankina · VALOR Sabre · Pools
LOSS
1027 48%
LOSS
695 71%
LOSS
1247 38%
LOSS
1425 32%
DRAW
Tatyana Shchennikova · Varga Sabre · Pools
LOSS
WIN
841 59%
LOSS
943 65%
LOSS
1425 32%
DRAW
Tatyana Shchennikova · Varga Sabre · Pools
LOSS
WIN
841 59%
LOSS
943 65%
LOSS
Vladislav Rogozin · HEMA Academy Rapier · Eliminations (RO6)
WIN
Tatyana Shchennikova · Varga Rapier · Pools
DRAW
Anastasiya Plohova · VALOR Rapier · Pools
WIN
Danil Yakovlev · Varga Rapier · Pools
LOSS
Igor Astashov · Varga Other · Pools
LOSS
LOSS
Go Fencing Day 2018
November 2018 · ru
No match-level data
16 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 414 ▲134 · 1,099.0
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 293 · 1,185.1
  • Women's Steel Sabre Rank 32 ▼1 · 1,112.5
  • Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Sabre Rank 32 ▼1 · 1,112.5
LOSS
Viktoria Kovalenko · Golden Falcon Rapier & Dagger · Eliminations (RO6)
WIN
Vladislava Palchikovskaya · Challenge Rapier & Dagger · Pools
WIN
Anna Semenova · HEMA Academy Rapier & Dagger · Pools
LOSS
Viktoria Kovalenko · Golden Falcon Rapier & Dagger · Pools
WIN
Nadezhda Lazareva · Golden Falcon Rapier & Dagger · Pools
LOSS
Aleksandr Dmitriev · Nochnaya Strazha Sabre · Eliminations (RO12)
1081 50%
WIN
Anna Semenova · HEMA Academy Sabre · Pools
WIN
Ilya Butorin · HEMA Academy Sabre · Pools
WIN
841 51%
LOSS
1024 45%
DRAW
DRAW
LOSS
1207 49%
DRAW
DRAW
LOSS
1207 49%
22 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 437 · 948.8
  • Women's Steel Sabre Rank 24 · 1,100.1
  • Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Sabre Rank 24 · 1,100.1
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.