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Eric Guay
Inactive 123m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1225
Peak
1317
July 2016
Record
8W · 5L
Last
July 2016
Scout analysis
Longsword
8W · 5L (62%)
Longsword
8W · 5L (62%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 50% vs older 67%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 50% vs older 67%
Record: 8W · 5L (62%)
Recent half (6 fights): 50%
Older half (6 fights): 67%
Delta: -17%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 13 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Punching up
-0.3 vs expectation
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Schedule
Punching up
-0.3 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under vs expectation:
-0.3
(2 actual / 2.3 expected, n=5)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
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Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
92 pts off peak
Currently below peak
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Peak
92 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1225
Peak rating: 1317 (July 2016)
Gap to peak: -92
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Arming Sword
3W · 2L (60%)
Arming Sword
3W · 2L (60%)
Form
Building
60% win rate · 5 fights
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Form
Building
60% win rate · 5 fights
Record: 3W · 2L (60%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 5 recorded arming sword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
3 events · us · 6 mo active
Single-weapon
▾
Reach
3 events · us · 6 mo active
Single-weapon
Tournaments: 3
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 6
Fights / year: 36
Rated weapons: 1
Clubmates
·
Mid-South Fencers Club●
(5)
Events & fights
(3)
3 fights
▾
4 fights
▾
11 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 221 · 1,203.3
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.