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Russell Lai

EHMS · Hong Kong
Inactive 35m

Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1101
Peak
1131 November 2023
Record
6W · 11L
Last
November 2023

Scout analysis

Longsword

5W · 11L (31%)
Form
Rising
Recent 63% vs older 0%
Record: 5W · 11L (31%)
Recent half (8 fights): 63%
Older half (8 fights): 0%
Delta: +63%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 16 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-0.6 vs expectation
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under vs expectation: -0.6 (2 actual / 2.6 expected, n=6)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 36%
Pool stage: 5W · 9L (36%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
29 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1101
Peak rating: 1131 (November 2023)
Gap to peak: -29
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
3 events · 2 countries · 4.8 yrs active
Single-weapon
Tournaments: 3
Countries fought in: 2 (de, fi)
Months active: 57
Fights / year: 3.4
Rated weapons: 1

Clubmates · EHMS (118)

Events & fights (3)

EHMS Open 2023
November 2023 · fi
No match-level data
6 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2075 ▲304 · 1,131.3
LOSS
Emil Lehmusterä · Tampere HEMA Longsword · elimination round 1
WIN
Marc Schultz · EHMS Longsword · pool 2
897 61%
WIN
Mikko Uosukainen · EHMS Longsword · pool 2
LOSS
Juska Kuhanen · Tampere HEMA Longsword · pool 2
965 62%
LOSS
Jakub Dobi · EHMS Longsword · pool 2
1531 24%
Dürerturnier 2020
March 2020 · de
No match-level data
6 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2064 ▲533 · 1,101.9
LOSS
Carl Heinemann · PSV Cottbus Longsword · 16-finals
LOSS
1363 32%
LOSS
Felix Wrede · Freyfechter Augustini Longsword · Pool 5
LOSS
Max Quast · Quinque Verba Longsword · Pool 5
1296 38%
WIN
Luca Banus · Schwabenfedern Longsword · Pool 5
1270 41%
WIN
Sandra Martin · Twerchhau e.V. Longsword · Pool 5
Dürer Turnier 2019
March 2019 · de
No match-level data
4 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2239 · 1,006.1
LOSS
Simon Keim · Schwert und Bogen Longsword · Pool 8
1317
LOSS
Bastian Tilgner · Schwert und Bogen Longsword · Pool 8
1541
LOSS
1394
LOSS
Franziska Hofmann · Saalefechter Longsword · Pool 8
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.