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Aleksandr Nikolaev
Inactive 80m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Inactive
Current
1295
Peak
1382
January 2020
Record
18W · 12L · 1D
Last
January 2020
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1202
Peak
1266
February 2019
Record
4W · 3L · 3D
Last
January 2020
Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger
Inactive
Current
1192
Peak
1252
January 2020
Record
0W · 0L
Last
January 2020
Scout analysis
Sabre
18W · 12L · 1D (58%)
Sabre
18W · 12L · 1D (58%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 53% vs older 67%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 53% vs older 67%
Record: 18W · 12L · 1D (58%)
Recent half (15 fights): 53%
Older half (15 fights): 67%
Delta: -14%
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 31 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-2.8 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-2.8 vs expectation
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 2
Over/under vs expectation:
-2.8
(8 actual / 10.8 expected, n=19)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 59% · Elim 67%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 59% · Elim 67%
Pool stage: 13W · 9L (59%)
Elimination: 4W · 2L (67%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
87 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
87 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1295
Peak rating: 1382 (January 2020)
Gap to peak: -87
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Rapier & Dagger
6W · 5L (55%)
Rapier & Dagger
6W · 5L (55%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 40% vs older 80%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 40% vs older 80%
Record: 6W · 5L (55%)
Recent half (5 fights): 40%
Older half (5 fights): 80%
Delta: -40%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 11 recorded rapier & dagger fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
Pool stage: 4W · 4L (50%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Longsword
4W · 3L · 3D (40%)
Longsword
4W · 3L · 3D (40%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 20% vs older 60%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 20% vs older 60%
Record: 4W · 3L · 3D (40%)
Recent half (5 fights): 20%
Older half (5 fights): 60%
Delta: -40%
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 10 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Comfort bracket
-1.8 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Comfort bracket
-1.8 vs expectation
Over/under vs expectation:
-1.8
(1 actual / 2.8 expected, n=5)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 80%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 80%
Pool stage: 4W · 1L (80%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
63 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
63 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1202
Peak rating: 1266 (February 2019)
Gap to peak: -63
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
+10 fights in 2 thinner divisions
Reach
3 events · ru · 11 mo active
3 rated weapons
▾
Reach
3 events · ru · 11 mo active
3 rated weapons
Tournaments: 3
Countries fought in: 1 (ru)
Months active: 11
Fights / year: 56.7
Rated weapons: 3
Clubmates
·
Desperados●
(5)
Events & fights
(3)
29 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1232 ▲2 · 1,263.5
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 209 ▲43 · 1,382.7
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 280 · 1,252.1
10 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 217 ▲16 · 1,341.7
13 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1042 · 1,266.1
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 182 · 1,329.9
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.