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Lucas Servera

Drei Wunder Wma · United States
Inactive 107m

Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1136
Peak
1216 November 2017
Record
8W · 9L
Last
November 2017

Scout analysis

Longsword

8W · 9L (47%)
Form
Rising
Recent 75% vs older 25%
Record: 8W · 9L (47%)
Recent half (8 fights): 75%
Older half (8 fights): 25%
Delta: +50%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 17 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Punching up
+1 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 3
Over/under vs expectation: +1 (4 actual / 3 expected, n=8)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
80 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1136
Peak rating: 1216 (November 2017)
Gap to peak: -80
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword 3W · 8L (27%) avg opponent 1160
+6 fights in 1 thinner division
Reach
4 events · us · 2.3 yrs active
Single-weapon
Tournaments: 4
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 27
Fights / year: 7.6
Rated weapons: 1

Clubmates · Drei Wunder Wma (9)

Events & fights (4)

Rose City Classic 2016
November 2016 · us
4 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 938 ▲247 · 928.4
PNW HEMA Gathering 2015
August 2015 · us
4 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 450 · 717.7
LOSS
1620
LOSS
RJ McKeehan · SoCal Swords Longsword Score 2-6 Review →
1201
LOSS
917
LOSS
Andrew Mendez · Valley's heart HEMA Longsword Score 5-9 Review →
Rose City Classic 2017
November 2017 · us
6 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 789 ▲727 · 1,216.7
WIN
1160 35%
LOSS
1277 31%
WIN
1122 40%
Winter's End 2017
February 2017 · us
No match-level data
3 fights
LOSS
913 46%
WIN
LOSS
1326 30%
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.