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Patrick Dean

United States
Inactive 137m
View HEMA Ratings Profile Report an issue with this data

Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
950
Peak
1014 June 2015
Record
1W · 2L
Last
June 2015

Scout analysis

Sword & Buckler

2W · 3L (40%)
Form
Building
40% win rate · 5 fights
▾
Record: 2W · 3L (40%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 5 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Longsword

1W · 2L (33%)
Form
Building
33% win rate · 3 fights
▾
Record: 1W · 2L (33%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 3 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
64 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Current rating: 950
Peak rating: 1014 (June 2015)
Gap to peak: -64
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
1 event · us
Single-weapon
▾
Tournaments: 1
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Rated weapons: 1

Events & fights (1)

Combat Con 2015●
June 2015 · us
8 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 254 · 1,014.4
LOSS
Kyle Griswold● · Stronghold Historical Combat● Longsword Score 0-12 Review →
1450
WIN
James Auger● · Einhorn LA Historical Fencing Arts● Longsword Score 13-0 Review →
1050
LOSS
Robin Price● · Lamh Bata Lann● Longsword Score 10-14 · 1 double Review →
LOSS
Stephen Kime● · Blood and Iron Martial Arts● Sword & Buckler Score 2-3 Review →
LOSS
Shane Gibson● · Hedge Knight● Sword & Buckler Score 0-7 Review →
WIN
Brian Stewart● · Davenriche European Martial Artes School● Sword & Buckler Score 8-2 · 1 double Review →
WIN
Charlie Kallberg● · Ochs● Sword & Buckler Score 4-1 Review →
LOSS
Kevin de Ridder● · Blood and Iron Martial Arts● Sword & Buckler Score 3-7 Review →
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.