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Julian Cerminara

Broken Plow Western Martial Arts● · United States
Inactive 47m
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Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1037
Peak
1075 September 2022
Record
6W · 14L
Last
September 2022

Scout analysis

Longsword

6W · 14L (30%)
Form
Steady
Recent 30% vs older 30%
▾
Record: 6W · 14L (30%)
Recent half (10 fights): 30%
Older half (10 fights): 30%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 3 Losses
Based on 20 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Punching up
-0.2 vs expectation
▾
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 2
Over/under vs expectation: -0.2 (2 actual / 2.2 expected, n=7)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 29% · Elim 33%
▾
Pool stage: 5W · 12L (29%)
Elimination: 1W · 2L (33%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
38 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Current rating: 1037
Peak rating: 1075 (September 2022)
Gap to peak: -38
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
3 events · us · 3.2 yrs active
Single-weapon
▾
Tournaments: 3
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 38
Fights / year: 6.3
Rated weapons: 1

Clubmates · Broken Plow Western Martial Arts● (84)

Events & fights (3)

Blood on the River 2022●
September 2022 · us
6 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1363 ▲377 · 1,075.8
WIN
Matthew Melonuk● · Waterfront Historical Fencing Club● Longsword · Eighth-Finals
1264 29%
WIN
William Hassan● · Unaffiliated● Longsword · Pool Set 1
1098 38%
WIN
James Stockton● · Broken Plow Western Martial Arts● Longsword · Pool Set 1
LOSS
Kevin Cyr● · Broken Plow Western Martial Arts● Longsword · Pool Set 1
LOSS
Alex Villavicencio● · Schwertkampfer Tradition of Swordsmanship● Longsword · Pool Set 1
1242 29%
LOSS
Brian Robinson● · Broken Plow Western Martial Arts● Longsword · Quarterfinals
Pennsylvania HEMA Open 2021●
August 2021 · us
8 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1784 ▲159 · 930.8
LOSS
Zachary Showalter● · Scuffletown Federfechters● Longsword · Pools
1592 22%
LOSS
Christian Atos● · Maryland Kunst des Fechtens● Longsword · Pools
1227 37%
WIN
Alicia Giminaro● · Nickel City Longsword Academy● Longsword · Pools
LOSS
Eugene Fisher● · Harrisburg Longsword● Longsword · Pools
LOSS
Joseph Lilly● · Capital Kunst des Fechtens● Longsword · Pools
1524 25%
LOSS
Geoff Lehman● · Nickel City Longsword Academy● Longsword · Pools Score 1-8 · 1 double Review →
LOSS
John Armitage● · Halfmoon Hema● Longsword · Pools Score 0-6 Review →
1208 40%
LOSS
Scott Wallace● · Fenris Kunst Des Fechtens● Longsword · Pools Score 0-7 Review →
Broken Point 2019●
August 2019 · us
No match-level data
6 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2859 · 914.4
WIN
Robbie Farlow● Longsword · Pool 3
LOSS
Sebastian Cole● · Nickel City Longsword Academy● Longsword · Pool 3
WIN
Jarrett Bachmeier● Longsword · Pool 3
LOSS
Garrett Adams● · Nickel City Longsword Academy● Longsword · Pool 3
LOSS
Elizabeth Bennett● Longsword · Pool 3
LOSS
Elanora Dovat● · Unaffiliated● Longsword · Quarter Finals
949
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.