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Natalie Budnick

Swordsmanship Museum and Academy● · United States
Inactive 82m
View HEMA Ratings Profile Report an issue with this data

Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1108
Peak
1157 January 2020
Record
4W · 2L
Last
January 2020

Scout analysis

Longsword

4W · 2L (67%)
Form
Building
67% win rate · 6 fights
▾
Record: 4W · 2L (67%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 3 Wins
Based on 6 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 67%
▾
Pool stage: 4W · 2L (67%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
48 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Current rating: 1108
Peak rating: 1157 (January 2020)
Gap to peak: -48
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Mixed Weapon

1W · 5L (17%)
Form
Building
17% win rate · 6 fights
▾
Record: 1W · 5L (17%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 6 recorded mixed weapon fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 17%
▾
Pool stage: 1W · 5L (17%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
1 event · us
Single-weapon
▾
Tournaments: 1
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Rated weapons: 1

Clubmates · Swordsmanship Museum and Academy● (13)

Events & fights (1)

Midwinter Armizare Open 2020●
January 2020 · us
No match-level data
12 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1755 · 1,157.0
WIN
Sam Halote● · Chicago Swordplay Guild● Longsword · Pool 2
LOSS
Davis Vader● · Chicago Swordplay Guild● Longsword · Pool 2
1117
LOSS
Ehren Wynder● · Centerline Sword School● Longsword · Pool 2
1190
WIN
Anne Brink● · Wisconsin Historical Fencing Association● Longsword · Pool 2
1076
WIN
Alexander Shekleton● · Chicago Swordplay Guild● Longsword · Pool 2
WIN
Matthew Tripam● · Rocky Mountain Swordplay Guild● Longsword · Pool 2
LOSS
Jerry Berg● · Swordsmanship Museum and Academy● Mixed Weapon · Pool 1
LOSS
Cameron Metcalf● · Centerline Sword School● Mixed Weapon · Pool 1
LOSS
Sidney Salud● · Chicago Swordplay Guild● Mixed Weapon · Pool 1
LOSS
Alexander Bahn● · Chicago Swordplay Guild● Mixed Weapon · Pool 1
WIN
Chuck Castellanos● · Lake Forest Sword Academy● Mixed Weapon · Pool 1
LOSS
Clark Asher● · St Louis School of Arms● Mixed Weapon · Pool 1
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.