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Paul Nester
Inactive 30m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Inactive
Current
1089
Peak
1106
February 2024
Record
3W · 3L
Last
February 2024
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
968
Peak
1033
February 2023
Record
4W · 8L
Last
February 2024
Scout analysis
Longsword
4W · 8L (33%)
Longsword
4W · 8L (33%)
Form
Steady
Recent 33% vs older 33%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 33% vs older 33%
Record: 4W · 8L (33%)
Recent half (6 fights): 33%
Older half (6 fights): 33%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 12 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
Pool stage: 4W · 8L (33%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
65 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
65 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 968
Peak rating: 1033 (February 2023)
Gap to peak: -65
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
+12 fights in 3 thinner divisions
Rapier
3W · 3L (50%)
Rapier
3W · 3L (50%)
Form
Building
50% win rate · 6 fights
▾
Form
Building
50% win rate · 6 fights
Record: 3W · 3L (50%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 6 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
Pool stage: 3W · 3L (50%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1089
Peak rating: 1106 (February 2024)
Gap to peak: -16
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
+6 fights in 2 thinner divisions
Reach
3 events · us · 4.1 yrs active
2 rated weapons
▾
Reach
3 events · us · 4.1 yrs active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 3
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 49
Fights / year: 4.4
Rated weapons: 2
Clubmates
·
Einhorn Los Angeles Historical Fencing Arts●
(37)
- Ilyse Kullman●
- Chandler Ryder●
- Christopher Soohoo●
- Tom Ostrowski●
- Simone Boudreau●
- Grant Parrinello●
- Julia Quach●
- Timo Elliott●
- Oliver Olick●
- Hung Tran●
- Kateryna Danylova●
- Mengxi Wang●
- River Valles●
- Ada Huang●
- Mykhailo Vdovchenko●
- Hector Farias●
- Elizabeth Wheeler●
- Adrian Brisland●
- Emerson Herrera●
- Eric Delgado●
- Megan OHeffernan●
- Alex Alvarez●
- Ashley Ferrum●
- Kate Freeman●
- Hannah Davis●
- Michael Rocha●
- Jon Wilborn●
- Noah Schnoll●
- Pavel Isakov●
- June Wang●
- Jessica Fox●
- Stacks Thompson●
- Steven Zhao●
- Da'Vaughn Pugh●
- Jamie Moss●
- Truman Fogler●
- Ivor Levinthal●
Events & fights
(4)
SoCal Swordfight 2024●
February 2024 · us
6 fights
▾
February 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 3032 ▼220 · 988.9
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 548 ▲187 · 1,106.5
WIN
Elizabeth Pedersen●
·
Sacramento Historical Fencing Academy●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 5-4 · 1 double
Review →
895 55%
LOSS
795 70%
SoCal Swordfight 2023●
February 2023 · us
7 fights
▾
February 2023 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1863 ▲84 · 1,033.6
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 457 · 972.8
SoCal Swordfight 2022●
February 2022 · us
2 fights
▾
February 2022 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1001 · 994.7
SoCal Swordfight 2020○
February 2020
No match-level data
3 fights
▾
February 2020
No match-level data
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.