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Pascal Theriault

Canada
Inactive 124m

Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Inactive
Current
1118
Peak
1191 June 2016
Record
4W · 3L · 1D
Last
June 2016
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Inactive
Current
1101
Peak
1158 June 2016
Record
2W · 1L
Last
June 2016
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1028
Peak
1106 October 2015
Record
4W · 5L
Last
October 2015

Scout analysis

Longsword

4W · 5L (44%)
Form
Rising
Recent 50% vs older 25%
Record: 4W · 5L (44%)
Recent half (4 fights): 50%
Older half (4 fights): 25%
Delta: +25%
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 9 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
78 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1028
Peak rating: 1106 (October 2015)
Gap to peak: -78
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Rapier

4W · 3L · 1D (50%)
Form
Steady
Recent 50% vs older 50%
Record: 4W · 3L · 1D (50%)
Recent half (4 fights): 50%
Older half (4 fights): 50%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 8 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
72 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1118
Peak rating: 1191 (June 2016)
Gap to peak: -72
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Sword & Buckler

2W · 1L (67%)
Form
Building
67% win rate · 3 fights
Record: 2W · 1L (67%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 3 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
57 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1101
Peak rating: 1158 (June 2016)
Gap to peak: -57
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
3 events · 2 countries · 1 yrs active
3 rated weapons
Tournaments: 3
Countries fought in: 2 (fr, us)
Months active: 12
Fights / year: 20
Rated weapons: 3

Events & fights (3)

Villeneuve HEMA Tournament 2016
June 2016 · fr
No match-level data
11 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 42 · 1,191.0
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 67 · 1,158.3
IGX 2015
October 2015 · us
No match-level data
5 fights
Paris HEMA Open 2015
June 2015 · fr
No match-level data
4 fights
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.