Checking for newer data...
Newer data is available for this fighter.
Paul Wagner
Inactive 82m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1376
Peak
1437
December 2019
Record
13W · 3L
Last
December 2019
Mixed & Men's Singlestick
Inactive
Current
1009
Peak
1082
August 2013
Record
2W · 2L
Last
August 2013
Scout analysis
Basket-Hilted Broadsword
41W · 10L (80%)
Basket-Hilted Broadsword
41W · 10L (80%)
Form
Steady
Recent 80% vs older 80%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 80% vs older 80%
Record: 41W · 10L (80%)
Recent half (25 fights): 80%
Older half (25 fights): 80%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 10 Wins
Based on 51 recorded basket-hilted broadsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 95%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 95%
Pool stage: 18W · 1L (95%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Longsword
10W · 3L (77%)
Longsword
10W · 3L (77%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 67% vs older 83%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 67% vs older 83%
Record: 10W · 3L (77%)
Recent half (6 fights): 67%
Older half (6 fights): 83%
Delta: -16%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 13 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 67%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 67%
Pool stage: 4W · 2L (67%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
61 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
61 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1376
Peak rating: 1437 (December 2019)
Gap to peak: -61
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Singlestick
2W · 2L (50%)
Singlestick
2W · 2L (50%)
Form
Building
50% win rate · 4 fights
▾
Form
Building
50% win rate · 4 fights
Record: 2W · 2L (50%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 4 recorded singlestick fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
73 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
73 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1009
Peak rating: 1082 (August 2013)
Gap to peak: -73
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
3 events · 2 countries · 6.4 yrs active
2 rated weapons
▾
Reach
3 events · 2 countries · 6.4 yrs active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 3
Countries fought in: 2 (us, au)
Months active: 77
Fights / year: 10.6
Rated weapons: 2
Clubmates
·
Stoccata School of Defence●
(47)
- Ronald Chin●
- Alexander Munro●
- Henry Mitchell-Hibbert●
- Lewis Hand●
- Matthew Boyd●
- Peter Radvan●
- Joseph Gora●
- Shaun Douglas●
- Greg Maginnity●
- Nicolai Repacholi●
- Julian Nati●
- Daniel Collins●
- Alex Selth●
- Chris Sutton●
- Roland Dennis●
- Adam Garden●
- Nicolo Catapang●
- Rhys Wilson●
- Joe Mahoney●
- Sean Armson●
- Michael Tarbath●
- Shepard Zhao●
- Ken Bradford●
- Lachlan MacPherson●
- Launz Burch●
- Miles McInerney●
- Simen Sletvold●
- Tim Goode●
- Dylan Knowles●
- Patrick Lee●
- Damon Young●
- Gabriel Asatryan●
- Matthew Loader●
- Daniel Blay●
- Adam Fell●
- Bob Tai●
- James McIntosh●
- Joshua Shuvalov●
- Khalil Amilbangsa●
- Lauren Ings●
- Liam Cahill●
- Ross Allen●
- Sgàthach NicLeòid●
- Simon Fennen●
- Stuart McDermid●
- David Harrington●
- Stephen Hand●
Events & fights
(6)
4 fights
▾
14 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 528 ▲371 · 1,437.7
18 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 450 · 1,356.7
World Broadsword Championship 2018○
June 2018
No match-level data
15 fights
▾
June 2018
No match-level data
Tasmanian Swordplay Symposium 2018○
December 2018
No match-level data
9 fights
▾
December 2018
No match-level data
World Broadsword Championship 2017○
September 2017
No match-level data
8 fights
▾
September 2017
No match-level data
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.