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Alex Dugmore
Inactive 26m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Regional
Current
1501
#314
Peak
1525
October 2024
Record
20W · 10L
Last
October 2024
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Regional
Current
1474
#211
Peak
1527
June 2024
Record
17W · 7L
Last
October 2024
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Regional
Current
1315
#1,889
Peak
1372
September 2022
Record
17W · 11L
Last
October 2024
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword
Inactive
Current
1551
Peak
1571
June 2024
Record
9W · 2L
Last
June 2024
Scout analysis
Sabre
20W · 10L (67%)
Sabre
20W · 10L (67%)
Form
Rising
Recent 73% vs older 60%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 73% vs older 60%
Record: 20W · 10L (67%)
Recent half (15 fights): 73%
Older half (15 fights): 60%
Delta: +13%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 30 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Punching up
+1.3 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
+1.3 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under vs expectation:
+1.3
(11 actual / 9.7 expected, n=18)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 76% · Elim 43%
▾
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 76% · Elim 43%
Pool stage: 13W · 4L (76%)
Elimination: 3W · 4L (43%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
24 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
24 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1501
Peak rating: 1525 (October 2024)
Gap to peak: -24
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
Longsword
17W · 11L (61%)
Longsword
17W · 11L (61%)
Form
Steady
Recent 57% vs older 64%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 57% vs older 64%
Record: 17W · 11L (61%)
Recent half (14 fights): 57%
Older half (14 fights): 64%
Delta: -7%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 28 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-2.8 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-2.8 vs expectation
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 6
Over/under vs expectation:
-2.8
(7 actual / 9.8 expected, n=16)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
3 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Fast starter
3 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 2.7
Avg exchanges / match: 9
Doubles / match: 2
First scorer rate: 67%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 50%
Comeback wins (was behind): 50%
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 67% · Elim 20%
▾
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 67% · Elim 20%
Pool stage: 12W · 6L (67%)
Elimination: 1W · 4L (20%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
56 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
56 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1315
Peak rating: 1372 (September 2022)
Gap to peak: -56
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword
13W · 9L
(59%)
-2.5 vs expectation
(n=11)
avg opponent 1200
+6 fights in 1 thinner division
Sword & Buckler
17W · 7L (71%)
Sword & Buckler
17W · 7L (71%)
Form
Steady
Recent 75% vs older 67%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 75% vs older 67%
Record: 17W · 7L (71%)
Recent half (12 fights): 75%
Older half (12 fights): 67%
Delta: +8%
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 24 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-0.5 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-0.5 vs expectation
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 2
Over/under vs expectation:
-0.5
(7 actual / 7.5 expected, n=11)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
4 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Fast starter
4 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 1.22
Avg exchanges / match: 7
Doubles / match: 1
First scorer rate: 100%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 0%
Comeback wins (was behind): 50%
Stage
Balanced
Pool 78% · Elim 75%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 78% · Elim 75%
Pool stage: 14W · 4L (78%)
Elimination: 3W · 1L (75%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
53 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
53 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1474
Peak rating: 1527 (June 2024)
Gap to peak: -53
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
Sidesword
9W · 2L (82%)
Sidesword
9W · 2L (82%)
Form
Rising
Recent 100% vs older 60%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 100% vs older 60%
Record: 9W · 2L (82%)
Recent half (5 fights): 100%
Older half (5 fights): 60%
Delta: +40%
Current streak: 6 Wins
Based on 11 recorded sidesword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 86% · Elim 100%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 86% · Elim 100%
Pool stage: 6W · 1L (86%)
Elimination: 3W · 0L (100%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
20 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
20 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1551
Peak rating: 1571 (June 2024)
Gap to peak: -20
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
Reach
4 events · nz · 2.1 yrs active
4 rated weapons
▾
Reach
4 events · nz · 2.1 yrs active
4 rated weapons
Tournaments: 4
Countries fought in: 1 (nz)
Months active: 25
Fights / year: 44.6
Rated weapons: 4
Clubmates
·
Whangarei Medieval Combat Club●
(17)
Events & fights
(4)
Steve Hodgson Memorial Tournament 2024●
October 2024 · nz
24 fights
▾
October 2024 · nz
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1184 ▲100 · 1,338.9
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 174 ▲95 · 1,525.2
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 162 ▼37 · 1,496.1
LOSS
Dean Howard●
·
Auckland Sword and Shield●
Sword & Buckler
· Gold Medal Match
Score 8-4 · 1 double
Review →
1312 70%
WIN
Justin Miller●
·
Black Cat Historical Fencing●
Sword & Buckler
· Pool Set 1
Score 6-3 · 1 double
Review →
LOSS
Ryan Campbell●
·
Whangarei Medieval Combat Club●
Sword & Buckler
· Pool Set 1
Score 5-8 · 1 double
Review →
LOSS
1188 80%
WIN
Dean Howard●
·
Auckland Sword and Shield●
Sword & Buckler
· Pool Set 1
Score 8-4 · 1 double
Review →
1312 70%
WIN
1188 80%
Unicorn Fight Club 2024●
June 2024 · nz
32 fights
▾
June 2024 · nz
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1213 ▼66 · 1,321.7
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 270 ▲65 · 1,429.0
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 123 ▲51 · 1,527.3
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword Rank 41 · 1,571.8
LOSS
Dean Aspin●
·
Canterbury Historical Fencing Club●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 0-6 · 2 doubles
Review →
1084 70%
Steve Hodgson Memorial Tournament 2023●
September 2023 · nz
25 fights
▾
September 2023 · nz
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 935 ▼137 · 1,330.8
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 233 ▲256 · 1,379.4
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 126 · 1,465.7
WIN
633 81%
Steve Hodgson Memorial Tournament 2022●
September 2022 · nz
12 fights
▾
September 2022 · nz
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 517 · 1,372.2
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 292 · 1,190.2
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.
Regional At least one of this fighter's ratings is "island" - their rank/percentile is relative to an isolated regional scene, not the global population. Cross-scene rating comparisons are unreliable.