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Chris Lynch
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Regional
Current
1389
#1,365
Peak
1396
April 2026
Record
35W · 27L · 3D
Last
April 2026
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword
Regional
Current
1244
#304
Peak
1250
April 2026
Record
22W · 30L · 3D
Last
April 2026
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Regional
Current
859
#1,794
Peak
866
September 2025
Record
3W · 8L
Last
September 2025
Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger
Regional
Current
929
#1,171
Peak
937
May 2025
Record
3W · 8L
Last
May 2025
Scout analysis
Longsword
35W · 27L · 3D (54%)
Longsword
35W · 27L · 3D (54%)
Form
Rising
Recent 66% vs older 41%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 66% vs older 41%
Record: 35W · 27L · 3D (54%)
Recent half (32 fights): 66%
Older half (32 fights): 41%
Delta: +25%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 65 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Punching up
+3.3 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
+3.3 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 6
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 2
Over/under vs expectation:
+3.3
(25 actual / 21.7 expected, n=45)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
12 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Fast starter
12 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 1.27
Avg exchanges / match: 7.9
Doubles / match: 0.58
First scorer rate: 75%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 0%
Comeback wins (was behind): 71%
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 60% · Elim 33%
▾
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 60% · Elim 33%
Pool stage: 30W · 20L (60%)
Elimination: 2W · 4L (33%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1389
Peak rating: 1396 (April 2026)
Gap to peak: -6
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword
24W · 14L · 3D
(59%)
+3.3 vs expectation
(n=23)
avg opponent 1207
+24 fights in 4 thinner divisions
Sidesword
22W · 30L · 3D (40%)
Sidesword
22W · 30L · 3D (40%)
Form
Rising
Recent 56% vs older 26%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 56% vs older 26%
Record: 22W · 30L · 3D (40%)
Recent half (27 fights): 56%
Older half (27 fights): 26%
Delta: +30%
Current streak: 5 Wins
Based on 55 recorded sidesword fights.
Schedule
Punching up
+0.4 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
+0.4 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 4
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under vs expectation:
+0.4
(12 actual / 11.6 expected, n=33)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
10 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Fast starter
10 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 1.18
Avg exchanges / match: 7.8
Doubles / match: 1
First scorer rate: 70%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 50%
Comeback wins (was behind): 17%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 43%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 43%
Pool stage: 20W · 27L (43%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1244
Peak rating: 1250 (April 2026)
Gap to peak: -5
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
Rapier
3W · 8L (27%)
Rapier
3W · 8L (27%)
Form
Rising
Recent 40% vs older 0%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 40% vs older 0%
Record: 3W · 8L (27%)
Recent half (5 fights): 40%
Older half (5 fights): 0%
Delta: +40%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 11 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 30%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 30%
Pool stage: 3W · 7L (30%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 929
Peak rating: 937 (May 2025)
Gap to peak: -8
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
By division
+11 fights in 2 thinner divisions
Mixed Weapon
3W · 3L (50%)
Mixed Weapon
3W · 3L (50%)
Form
Building
50% win rate · 6 fights
▾
Form
Building
50% win rate · 6 fights
Record: 3W · 3L (50%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 6 recorded mixed weapon fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Measured
3 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Measured
3 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 1.56
Avg exchanges / match: 8.3
Doubles / match: 1.67
First scorer rate: 33%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 0%
Comeback wins (was behind): 0%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
Pool stage: 3W · 3L (50%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
Rapier & Dagger
1W · 4L (20%)
Rapier & Dagger
1W · 4L (20%)
Form
Building
20% win rate · 5 fights
▾
Form
Building
20% win rate · 5 fights
Record: 1W · 4L (20%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 4 Losses
Based on 5 recorded rapier & dagger fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 20%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 20%
Pool stage: 1W · 4L (20%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
Spear
0W · 4L (0%)
Spear
0W · 4L (0%)
Form
Building
0% win rate · 4 fights
▾
Form
Building
0% win rate · 4 fights
Record: 0W · 4L (0%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 4 Losses
Based on 4 recorded spear fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 0%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 0%
Pool stage: 0W · 4L (0%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
Reach
9 events · 2 countries · 2.6 yrs active
3 rated weapons
▾
Reach
9 events · 2 countries · 2.6 yrs active
3 rated weapons
Tournaments: 9
Countries fought in: 2 (nz, au)
Months active: 31
Fights / year: 56.5
Rated weapons: 3
Clubmates
·
Auckland Longsword●
(10)
Events & fights
(9)
Auckland Autumn Affair 2026●
April 2026 · nz
23 fights
▾
April 2026 · nz
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1250 ▲384 · 1,396.4
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword Rank 308 ▲100 · 1,250.6
LOSS
1484 15%
Steve Hodgson Memorial Tournament 2025●
September 2025 · nz
15 fights
▾
September 2025 · nz
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1466 ▲2 · 1,353.4
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 1561 · 866.4
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword Rank 380 ▲57 · 1,156.9
DRAW
1352 23%
Unicorn Fight Club 2025●
May 2025 · nz
26 fights
▾
May 2025 · nz
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1361 ▲275 · 1,354.1
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 872 · 937.6
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword Rank 400 ▲19 · 1,121.5
WIN
1353 36%
The Auckland Autumn Affair 2025●
April 2025 · nz
20 fights
▾
April 2025 · nz
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1636 ▲297 · 1,306.3
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword Rank 419 ▲54 · 1,126.8
WIN
1072 61%
WIN
WIN
Oktoberfecht 2024●
October 2024 · au
8 fights
▾
October 2024 · au
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1635 ▲774 · 1,267.5
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword Rank 449 ▲32 · 1,075.4
LOSS
1228 31%
Steve Hodgson Memorial Tournament 2024●
October 2024 · nz
11 fights
▾
October 2024 · nz
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1635 ▲774 · 1,267.5
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword Rank 449 ▲32 · 1,075.4
DRAW
1501 19%
LOSS
1467 15%
Unicorn Fight Club 2024●
June 2024 · nz
15 fights
▾
June 2024 · nz
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2273 ▼360 · 1,153.5
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword Rank 469 ▲37 · 1,041.6
LOSS
1323 41%
LOSS
Dean Aspin●
·
Canterbury Historical Fencing Club●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 5-10 · 2 doubles
Review →
1084 60%
WIN
879 53%
The Auckland Autumn Affair 2024●
April 2024 · nz
15 fights
▾
April 2024 · nz
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1871 ▲1800 · 1,194.1
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword Rank 515 ▲212 · 995.8
Steve Hodgson Memorial Tournament 2023●
September 2023 · nz
13 fights
▾
September 2023 · nz
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 3197 · 891.9
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword Rank 571 · 729.9
LOSS
1118
LOSS
1118
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.
Regional At least one of this fighter's ratings is "island" - their rank/percentile is relative to an isolated regional scene, not the global population. Cross-scene rating comparisons are unreliable.