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Matt Goff

Black Bear Historical Fencing● · United States
Inactive 18m
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Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
1324 #1,931
Peak
1338 February 2025
Record
11W · 3L
Last
February 2025

Scout analysis

Longsword

11W · 3L (79%)
Form
Rising
Recent 86% vs older 71%
▾
Record: 11W · 3L (79%)
Recent half (7 fights): 86%
Older half (7 fights): 71%
Delta: +15%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 14 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
+0.7 vs expectation
▾
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under vs expectation: +0.7 (5 actual / 4.3 expected, n=6)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 90%
▾
Pool stage: 9W · 1L (90%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Current rating: 1324
Peak rating: 1338 (February 2025)
Gap to peak: -14
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword 6W · 2L (75%) avg opponent 936
+6 fights in 1 thinner division
Reach
2 events · us · 1.9 yrs active
Single-weapon
▾
Tournaments: 2
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 23
Fights / year: 7.3
Rated weapons: 1

Clubmates · Black Bear Historical Fencing● (13)

Events & fights (2)

LynxCup 2025●
February 2025 · us
No match-level data
6 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1282 ▲465 · 1,338.1
WIN
Douglas Silfies● · L'Arte Lehigh Valley Historical Fencing● Longsword · Pool
1151 71%
WIN
Katina Dunham● · Ars Gladii● Longsword · Pool
1170 73%
WIN
Anthony Klon● · Medieval European Martial Arts Guild● Longsword · Pool
1242 66%
WIN
Seth Day● · Columbus United Fencing Club● Longsword · Pool
759 80%
WIN
Nicholas Tyson● · Nashville School of Historical Fencing● Longsword · Pool
1159 68%
LOSS
Katina Dunham● · Ars Gladii● Longsword · Table of 32
1170 73%
SoCal Swordfight 2023●
March 2023 · us
8 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 945 · 1,282.6
WIN
Kevin Broyles● · Medieval European Martial Arts Guild● Longsword · Pool
LOSS
Tom Leslie● · Nashville School of Historical Fencing● Longsword · Pool
736
WIN
Lucas Copeland-Nguyen● · Philadelphia Common Fencers Guild● Longsword · Pool
WIN
Geoff Ebbert● · L'Arte Della Bellica● Longsword · Pool
WIN
Nathaniel Tinker● · Ann Arbor Sword Club● Longsword · Pool
887
LOSS
Tony Cavalline● · Hilt and Helm Pittsburgh Fencing Club● Longsword · Quarters
1184
WIN
Lucas Copeland-Nguyen● · Philadelphia Common Fencers Guild● Longsword · Table of 16
WIN
Mulnah Dovat● · Steelhead Western Martial Arts● Longsword · Table of 32
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.