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Lucas Copeland-Nguyen
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Current
1326
#529
Peak
1327
April 2026
Record
8W · 4L
Last
April 2026
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword
Regional
Current
1173
#381
Peak
1181
August 2025
Record
5W · 6L
Last
August 2025
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
1038
#4,608
Peak
1051
July 2025
Record
11W · 26L
Last
July 2025
Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger
Current
1145
#705
Peak
1159
February 2025
Record
8W · 4L
Last
February 2025
Scout analysis
Longsword
11W · 26L (30%)
Longsword
11W · 26L (30%)
Form
Steady
Recent 33% vs older 28%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 33% vs older 28%
Record: 11W · 26L (30%)
Recent half (18 fights): 33%
Older half (18 fights): 28%
Delta: +5%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 37 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Punching up
-0.3 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
-0.3 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 5
Over/under vs expectation:
-0.3
(6 actual / 6.3 expected, n=22)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 25% · Elim 33%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 25% · Elim 33%
Pool stage: 6W · 18L (25%)
Elimination: 3W · 6L (33%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1038
Peak rating: 1051 (July 2025)
Gap to peak: -13
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword
3W · 12L
(20%)
-1.1 vs expectation
(n=5)
avg opponent 1159
Mixed Steel Longsword (Tier B)
5W · 9L
(36%)
+1.2 vs expectation
(n=14)
avg opponent 1191
Mixed Steel Longsword (Tier C)
3W · 5L
(38%)
avg opponent 855
Rapier & Dagger
7W · 12L (37%)
Rapier & Dagger
7W · 12L (37%)
Form
Rising
Recent 56% vs older 11%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 56% vs older 11%
Record: 7W · 12L (37%)
Recent half (9 fights): 56%
Older half (9 fights): 11%
Delta: +45%
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 19 recorded rapier & dagger fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
3 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Fast starter
3 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 1.67
Avg exchanges / match: 6.7
Doubles / match: 1.33
First scorer rate: 67%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 50%
Comeback wins (was behind): 0%
Stage
Balanced
Pool 40% · Elim 33%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 40% · Elim 33%
Pool stage: 6W · 9L (40%)
Elimination: 1W · 2L (33%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
Rapier
8W · 4L (67%)
Rapier
8W · 4L (67%)
Form
Rising
Recent 83% vs older 50%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 83% vs older 50%
Record: 8W · 4L (67%)
Recent half (6 fights): 83%
Older half (6 fights): 50%
Delta: +33%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 12 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Comfort bracket
+1.4 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Comfort bracket
+1.4 vs expectation
Over/under vs expectation:
+1.4
(4 actual / 2.6 expected, n=5)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 75%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 75%
Pool stage: 6W · 2L (75%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1326
Peak rating: 1327 (April 2026)
Gap to peak: -1
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
Sidesword
4W · 6L (40%)
Sidesword
4W · 6L (40%)
Form
Steady
Recent 40% vs older 40%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 40% vs older 40%
Record: 4W · 6L (40%)
Recent half (5 fights): 40%
Older half (5 fights): 40%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 10 recorded sidesword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 40%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 40%
Pool stage: 4W · 6L (40%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1173
Peak rating: 1181 (August 2025)
Gap to peak: -8
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
Reach
10 events · us · 3.2 yrs active
3 rated weapons
▾
Reach
10 events · us · 3.2 yrs active
3 rated weapons
Tournaments: 10
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 38
Fights / year: 24.6
Rated weapons: 3
Clubmates
·
Philadelphia Common Fencers Guild●
(29)
- Jonathan Paulino●
- Michael Asbury●
- William Hannings●
- Seth Gingo●
- Kevt'her Hoxha●
- Dave Larrabee●
- Benjamin Orr●
- Kyle Watson●
- Valera Velez●
- Ryan Cale●
- Maddy Johnson●
- Benjamin Allen●
- Emery Hood●
- Joseph Gurrentz●
- Kaho Long●
- Matt DeVane●
- Colin Lawler●
- Tim Merle●
- Ben Werden●
- Freddy Tse●
- Graham Meyer●
- Ulysses Olek●
- Jacob Mauser●
- Nimue Mattingly●
- Robin Andrews●
- Abeer Ahmed●
- Harry Hansen●
- Andres Vidal●
- Reilly Beauchamp●
Events & fights
(10)
BBQ Fecht (A Jester Babies Production) 2026●
April 2026 · us
7 fights
▾
April 2026 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 555 ▲839 · 1,327.9
ARFL Messer and Sidesword 2025●
August 2025 · us
10 fights
▾
August 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword Rank 349 · 1,181.8
LOSS
LOSS
1007
Revolution Rumble 2025●
July 2025 · us
7 fights
▾
July 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 4032 ▲1064 · 1,051.5
LOSS
1397 12%
WIN
1127 29%
Philly Rapier League Winter Challenge 2025●
February 2025 · us
6 fights
▾
February 2025 · us
Happy Shanksgiving 2024●
November 2024 · us
5 fights
▾
November 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 915 · 1,030.3
Proletariat Poke 2024●
August 2024 · us
6 fights
▾
August 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 609 ▲173 · 993.3
LOSS
Nick Baldwin●
·
Maryland Training in Historical Swordmanship●
Rapier & Dagger
· Pool Set 1
Score 2-6 · 3 doubles
Review →
WIN
Katerina Roberts●
·
New Jersey Kloppfechters●
Rapier & Dagger
· Pool Set 1
Score 5-0 · 1 double
Review →
LOSS
Nick Baldwin●
·
Maryland Training in Historical Swordmanship●
Rapier & Dagger
· Quarterfinals
Score 2-6 · 3 doubles
Review →
Revolution Rumble 2024●
July 2024 · us
7 fights
▾
July 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 3803 ▼39 · 926.9
Clash for the Cash 2024●
March 2024 · us
7 fights
▾
March 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 3481 ▼7 · 926.5
Revolution Rumble 2023●
July 2023 · us
8 fights
▾
July 2023 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2991 ▲280 · 915.3
LOSS
Sean Pabers●
·
Mid-Atlantic Society for Historic Swordsmanship●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 2-5
Review →
768 51%
LOSS
1171 29%
SoCal Swordfight 2023●
March 2023 · us
15 fights
▾
March 2023 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2843 · 801.1
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 430 · 812.7
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.
Regional At least one of this fighter's ratings is "island" - their rank/percentile is relative to an isolated regional scene, not the global population. Cross-scene rating comparisons are unreliable.