Skip to main content

Joshua Bywaters-Davis

The School of the Sword · United Kingdom
Inactive 87m

Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger
Inactive
Current
1257
Peak
1347 November 2017
Record
0W · 0L
Last
July 2019
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Inactive
Current
1213
Peak
1271 July 2017
Record
3W · 1L
Last
July 2017

Scout analysis

Rapier & Dagger

15W · 16L · 2D (45%)
Form
Rising
Recent 50% vs older 38%
Record: 15W · 16L · 2D (45%)
Recent half (16 fights): 50%
Older half (16 fights): 38%
Delta: +12%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 33 recorded rapier & dagger fights.
Schedule
Punching up
-1.9 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under vs expectation: -1.9 (9 actual / 10.9 expected, n=24)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 60%
Pool stage: 3W · 2L (60%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Sword & Buckler

3W · 1L (75%)
Form
Building
75% win rate · 4 fights
Record: 3W · 1L (75%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 4 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
57 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1213
Peak rating: 1271 (July 2017)
Gap to peak: -57
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
7 events · 3 countries · 3.1 yrs active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 7
Countries fought in: 3 (uk, se, no)
Months active: 37
Fights / year: 12
Rated weapons: 2

Clubmates · The School of the Sword (69)

Events & fights (7)

Swordfish 2016
November 2016 · se
No match-level data
4 fights
LOSS
1607 33%
WIN
911 59%
LOSS
1307 45%
Astolat HEMA Open 2016
July 2016 · uk
No match-level data
5 fights
LOSS
WIN
DRAW
1052
Wessex League: Bristol Chapter 2017
September 2017 · uk
No match-level data
4 fights
WIN
795 73%
LOSS
Jay Maxwell · Tempus Fugitives Rapier & Dagger
1420 31%
DRAW
1451 28%
LOSS
1247 45%
Albion Cup 2019
July 2019 · uk
6 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 171 ▲14 · 1,342.3
LOSS
Håvard Lund Eidheim · Fekteklubben Frie Duellister Rapier & Dagger · Eighth-Finals
1530 31%
LOSS
Alexander Makarov · Tempus Fugitives Rapier & Dagger · Pool Set 1
1680 18%
WIN
Robyn Saul · London Historical Fencing Club Rapier & Dagger · Pool Set 1
WIN
Fran Terminiello · The School of the Sword Rapier & Dagger · Pool Set 1
1172 71%
WIN
Nick Laing · The Institute for Historical Arts Rapier & Dagger · Pool Set 1
919 80%
LOSS
Sam Brennan Booth · The Renaissance Sword Club Rapier & Dagger · Pool Set 1
1508 34%
Astolat HEMA Open 2017
July 2017 · uk
No match-level data
9 fights
WIN
804 60%
LOSS
1942 5%
WIN
855 57%
LOSS
1163 48%
WIN
1137
WIN
Greg Szanto · Tree of Shields Sword & Buckler
WIN
LOSS
1271
Norway Open 2017
May 2017 · no
No match-level data
4 fights
LOSS
1345 49%
LOSS
1173 60%
LOSS
1284 57%
LOSS
1567 32%
Wessex League: Bath Chapter 2017
November 2017 · uk
No match-level data
5 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 88 ▲28 · 1,347.1
WIN
1108 62%
WIN
1294 42%
WIN
1403 34%
LOSS
1342 36%
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.