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Cory Keller

Fechtschule Victoria● · Australia
Inactive 23m
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Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Regional
Current
1381 #1,445
Peak
1400 October 2024
Record
12W · 6L
Last
October 2024

Scout analysis

Longsword

12W · 6L (67%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 56% vs older 78%
▾
Record: 12W · 6L (67%)
Recent half (9 fights): 56%
Older half (9 fights): 78%
Delta: -22%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 18 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-0.3 vs expectation
▾
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under vs expectation: -0.3 (6 actual / 6.3 expected, n=10)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 73% · Elim 33%
▾
Pool stage: 11W · 4L (73%)
Elimination: 1W · 2L (33%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Current rating: 1381
Peak rating: 1400 (October 2024)
Gap to peak: -19
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword 9W · 4L (69%) +0.2 vs expectation (n=6) avg opponent 1265
+5 fights in 1 thinner division
Reach
3 events · au · 1.3 yrs active
Single-weapon
▾
Tournaments: 3
Countries fought in: 1 (au)
Months active: 16
Fights / year: 13.5
Rated weapons: 1

Clubmates · Fechtschule Victoria● (36)

Events & fights (3)

Oktoberfecht 2024●
October 2024 · au
5 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 884 ▲75 · 1,400.9
LOSS
Minh Nguyen● · Hanoi HEMA Club● Longsword · Elimination Bracket
1258 69%
WIN
Rhys Underwood● · School of Arms and Armour● Longsword · Pool Set 1
WIN
Joshua Purnell● · Sword Fighter Gold Coast● Longsword · Pool Set 1
1425 60%
LOSS
Mark Holgate● · Adelaide Sword Academy● Longsword · Pool Set 1
1793 27%
WIN
Noah Vancam● · Scholar Victoria● Longsword · Pool Set 1
911 86%
CapoFiore Comp 2024●
January 2024 · au
8 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 796 ▲232 · 1,385.9
WIN
Gregory Noonan● · The School of Historical Fencing● Longsword · Eighth-Finals
802 82%
WIN
Heather Avery● · Fitzroy College of Arms● Longsword · Main Pools
LOSS
Andrew Appuhamy● · Fechtschule Victoria● Longsword · Main Pools
WIN
Damien Hewson-Donovan● · Melbourne Messer Club● Longsword · Main Pools
1078 80%
WIN
Simon Tomasetti● · The School of Historical Fencing● Longsword · Main Pools
1106 68%
LOSS
Travis McKenzie● · Scholar Victoria● Longsword · Quarterfinals
1657 45%
WIN
Xander McConnell● · Adelaide Sword Academy● Longsword · Swiss Pools
1082 77%
LOSS
Daniel Pope● · Scholar Victoria● Longsword · Swiss Pools
1865 31%
The Marozzo Cup 2023●
June 2023 · au
No match-level data
5 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 887 · 1,329.3
WIN
Jesse De Cata● · The School of Historical Fencing● Longsword · Pool 1
WIN
Anita Twisk● · The School of Historical Fencing● Longsword · Pool 1
LOSS
Hunter Blackwood● · The School of Historical Fencing● Longsword · Pool 1
WIN
Lucy Jarvis● · The School of Historical Fencing● Longsword · Pool 1
WIN
Simon Tomasetti● · The School of Historical Fencing● Longsword · Pool 1
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.

Regional At least one of this fighter's ratings is "island" - their rank/percentile is relative to an isolated regional scene, not the global population. Cross-scene rating comparisons are unreliable.