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Madeleine Kelly
Inactive 100m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1156
Peak
1244
November 2018
Record
12W · 15L · 3D
Last
November 2018
Women's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1300
Peak
1344
July 2018
Record
12W · 15L · 3D
Last
July 2018
Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1300
Peak
1344
July 2018
Record
12W · 15L · 3D
Last
July 2018
Scout analysis
Longsword
15W · 15L · 3D (45%)
Longsword
15W · 15L · 3D (45%)
Form
Rising
Recent 63% vs older 31%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 63% vs older 31%
Record: 15W · 15L · 3D (45%)
Recent half (16 fights): 63%
Older half (16 fights): 31%
Delta: +32%
Current streak: 3 Wins
Based on 33 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Punching up
-0.3 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
-0.3 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 2
Over/under vs expectation:
-0.3
(4 actual / 4.3 expected, n=12)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
3 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Fast starter
3 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 0.88
Avg exchanges / match: 5
Doubles / match: 0
First scorer rate: 100%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 0%
Comeback wins (was behind): 50%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
Pool stage: 4W · 8L (33%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
44 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
44 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1300
Peak rating: 1344 (July 2018)
Gap to peak: -44
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword
9W · 15L · 3D
(33%)
-0.3 vs expectation
(n=12)
avg opponent 1373
+6 fights in 1 thinner division
Mixed Weapon
5W · 1L (83%)
Mixed Weapon
5W · 1L (83%)
Form
Building
83% win rate · 6 fights
▾
Form
Building
83% win rate · 6 fights
Record: 5W · 1L (83%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 5 Wins
Based on 6 recorded mixed weapon fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 100%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 100%
Pool stage: 4W · 0L (100%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
4 events · au · 1.6 yrs active
Single-weapon
▾
Reach
4 events · au · 1.6 yrs active
Single-weapon
Tournaments: 4
Countries fought in: 1 (au)
Months active: 19
Fights / year: 24.6
Rated weapons: 1
Clubmates
·
Fechtschule Victoria●
(36)
- Kenneth Yuen●
- Andrew Appuhamy●
- Bao Huynh●
- Jennifer Embry●
- Georgia Gardener●
- Joshua Bulleid●
- Lisa Cronin●
- Lance Kastner●
- Jared Ong●
- Katie Doyle●
- Isaac King●
- Jayden McKay●
- Hannah Cleaveley●
- Dom Favilla●
- Cory Keller●
- Maddy Kelly●
- Jack McMahon●
- Justin Anderson●
- Lochlan Paterson-Crisp●
- Kate Starr●
- Rhiannon Burns●
- Timea Stan●
- Lewis Douketis●
- Josef Broniecki●
- Neil Brouwer●
- David Harding●
- Matteo Elia Bettio●
- Pat Branagan●
- Thomas Forwood●
- Arron Leslie-Evans●
- Jack Wise●
- Nicholas Choo●
- Justin Tan●
- Aidan Kennedy●
- George McLoughlin●
- Courtney Lane●
Events & fights
(4)
13 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1323 ▼85 · 1,144.7
- Women's Steel Longsword Rank 69 · 1,344.2
- Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Longsword Rank 69 · 1,344.2
400 Year Tournament 2018●
November 2018 · au
3 fights
▾
November 2018 · au
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1090 ▲325 · 1,244.2
DRAW
1127 56%
Swordplay 2018●
September 2018 · au
9 fights
▾
September 2018 · au
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1384 ▼39 · 1,154.2
LOSS
1630 13%
LOSS
Ben Hill●
·
Australis Scherma Scuola di Spada e Sciabola●
Longsword
· Pool Matches
Score 14-9
Review →
1299 33%
WIN
917 65%
WIN
Lois Spangler●
·
Brisbane School of Iberian Swordsmanship●
Mixed Weapon
· Pool Matches
Score 9-14
Review →
WIN
14 fights
▾
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.