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Jeff Butler
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Current
1041
#1,025
Peak
1057
May 2025
Record
4W · 10L
Last
March 2026
Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger
Regional
Current
838
#1,307
Peak
906
March 2025
Record
0W · 0L
Last
March 2026
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
1091
#4,111
Peak
1147
May 2025
Record
0W · 0L
Last
November 2025
Scout analysis
Longsword
10W · 26L (28%)
Longsword
10W · 26L (28%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 22% vs older 33%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 22% vs older 33%
Record: 10W · 26L (28%)
Recent half (18 fights): 22%
Older half (18 fights): 33%
Delta: -11%
Current streak: 7 Losses
Based on 36 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Punching up
-2.3 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
-2.3 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 2
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under vs expectation:
-2.3
(5 actual / 7.3 expected, n=20)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 31% · Elim 25%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 31% · Elim 25%
Pool stage: 8W · 18L (31%)
Elimination: 1W · 3L (25%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
56 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
56 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1091
Peak rating: 1147 (May 2025)
Gap to peak: -56
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
Sword & Buckler
4W · 10L (29%)
Sword & Buckler
4W · 10L (29%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 14% vs older 43%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 14% vs older 43%
Record: 4W · 10L (29%)
Recent half (7 fights): 14%
Older half (7 fights): 43%
Delta: -29%
Current streak: 3 Losses
Based on 14 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
Pool stage: 4W · 8L (33%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1041
Peak rating: 1057 (May 2025)
Gap to peak: -15
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
By division
Mixed Steel Any One-Handed Sword & Buckler
3W · 7L
(30%)
avg opponent 990
+4 fights in 1 thinner division
Rapier & Dagger
1W · 9L (10%)
Rapier & Dagger
1W · 9L (10%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 0% vs older 20%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 0% vs older 20%
Record: 1W · 9L (10%)
Recent half (5 fights): 0%
Older half (5 fights): 20%
Delta: -20%
Current streak: 5 Losses
Based on 10 recorded rapier & dagger fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 13%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 13%
Pool stage: 1W · 7L (13%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
Messer
5W · 1L (83%)
Messer
5W · 1L (83%)
Form
Building
83% win rate · 6 fights
▾
Form
Building
83% win rate · 6 fights
Record: 5W · 1L (83%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 6 recorded messer fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 100%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 100%
Pool stage: 3W · 0L (100%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
Smallsword
2W · 3L · 1D (33%)
Smallsword
2W · 3L · 1D (33%)
Form
Building
33% win rate · 6 fights
▾
Form
Building
33% win rate · 6 fights
Record: 2W · 3L · 1D (33%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 6 recorded smallsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
Pool stage: 1W · 2L (33%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
Mixed Weapon
1W · 1L (50%)
Mixed Weapon
1W · 1L (50%)
Form
Building
50% win rate · 2 fights
▾
Form
Building
50% win rate · 2 fights
Record: 1W · 1L (50%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 2 recorded mixed weapon fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
Reach
8 events · ca · 2.6 yrs active
3 rated weapons
▾
Reach
8 events · ca · 2.6 yrs active
3 rated weapons
Tournaments: 8
Countries fought in: 1 (ca)
Months active: 31
Fights / year: 28.6
Rated weapons: 3
Clubmates
·
Signum Corvus School of Arms●
(12)
Events & fights
(9)
Gathering of the Blades x Spring Steel 2026●
March 2026 · ca
10 fights
▾
March 2026 · ca
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 1276 ▼145 · 840.1
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 1010 ▼4 · 1,043.6
Frost on the Blade 2025●
November 2025 · ca
7 fights
▾
November 2025 · ca
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 3804 ▼501 · 1,099.0
LOSS
1270 33%
11 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 3020 ▲376 · 1,147.7
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 911 ▼28 · 1,057.1
Spring Steel 2025●
March 2025 · ca
16 fights
▾
March 2025 · ca
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 898 · 906.3
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 884 · 1,040.8
LOSS
1129
LOSS
CodyAllan Ferguson●
·
Dueling Weapons Academy of Renaissance Fencing●
Rapier & Dagger
· Pool Set 1
Score 7-8
Review →
LOSS
Jeff Vansteenkiste●
·
Scola Della Scherma Storica●
Rapier & Dagger
· Pool Set 1
Score 10-12
Review →
LOSS
Marie-France Lalancette●
·
Toronto Historical Combatants●
Smallsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 4-13
Review →
5 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2758 ▼111 · 1,100.4
Frost on the Blade 2024●
November 2024 · ca
6 fights
▾
November 2024 · ca
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2989 ▼151 · 1,092.5
WIN
1093 50%
LOSS
Ryan Bishop●
·
Dueling Weapons Academy of Renaissance Fencing●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 5-7
Review →
LOSS
Brett Biery●
·
Society for Historical Arms Research and Practice●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 4-8
Review →
1202 40%
LOSS
Matt Juers●
·
Academy of European Medieval Martial Arts●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 4-8 · 2 doubles
Review →
1063 41%
Frost on the Blade 2023●
November 2023 · ca
9 fights
▾
November 2023 · ca
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2125 ▲894 · 1,120.9
LOSS
Scott Green●
·
Dueling Weapons Academy of Renaissance Fencing●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 4-6
Review →
1015 49%
4 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2926 · 947.7
The Krieg 2026○
April 2026
No match-level data
6 fights
▾
April 2026
No match-level data
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.
Regional At least one of this fighter's ratings is "island" - their rank/percentile is relative to an isolated regional scene, not the global population. Cross-scene rating comparisons are unreliable.