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Niles Cerro
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
1471
#788
Peak
1473
April 2026
Record
37W · 24L · 4D
Last
April 2026
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Current
1325
#775
Peak
1337
June 2025
Record
11W · 12L · 3D
Last
June 2025
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Current
1434
#250
Peak
1525
March 2025
Record
0W · 0L
Last
May 2025
Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger
Inactive
Current
1058
Peak
1072
May 2024
Record
0W · 0L
Last
May 2024
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword
Inactive
Current
1143
Peak
1165
September 2023
Record
5W · 6L
Last
September 2023
Scout analysis
Longsword
37W · 24L · 4D (57%)
Longsword
37W · 24L · 4D (57%)
Form
Steady
Recent 56% vs older 56%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 56% vs older 56%
Record: 37W · 24L · 4D (57%)
Recent half (32 fights): 56%
Older half (32 fights): 56%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 65 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
+1 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
+1 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 2
Over/under vs expectation:
+1
(25 actual / 24 expected, n=46)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Measured
3 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Measured
3 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 1.21
Avg exchanges / match: 5.7
Doubles / match: 0.33
First scorer rate: 33%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 100%
Comeback wins (was behind): 0%
Stage
Balanced
Pool 64% · Elim 45%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 64% · Elim 45%
Pool stage: 30W · 17L (64%)
Elimination: 5W · 6L (45%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1471
Peak rating: 1473 (April 2026)
Gap to peak: -1
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword
28W · 17L · 4D
(57%)
+1.9 vs expectation
(n=30)
avg opponent 1337
Mixed Steel Longsword (Tier B)
5W · 6L
(45%)
-1.4 vs expectation
(n=11)
avg opponent 1285
+5 fights in 1 thinner division
Sabre
11W · 12L · 3D (42%)
Sabre
11W · 12L · 3D (42%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 31% vs older 54%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 31% vs older 54%
Record: 11W · 12L · 3D (42%)
Recent half (13 fights): 31%
Older half (13 fights): 54%
Delta: -23%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 26 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Punching up
-0.4 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
-0.4 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Over/under vs expectation:
-0.4
(5 actual / 5.4 expected, n=12)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 50% · Elim 25%
▾
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 50% · Elim 25%
Pool stage: 9W · 9L (50%)
Elimination: 1W · 3L (25%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1325
Peak rating: 1337 (June 2025)
Gap to peak: -12
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Sword & Buckler
16W · 6L (73%)
Sword & Buckler
16W · 6L (73%)
Form
Steady
Recent 73% vs older 73%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 73% vs older 73%
Record: 16W · 6L (73%)
Recent half (11 fights): 73%
Older half (11 fights): 73%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 22 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 2
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 69% · Elim 83%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 69% · Elim 83%
Pool stage: 9W · 4L (69%)
Elimination: 5W · 1L (83%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Arming Sword & Buckler
8W · 5L
(62%)
avg opponent 1171
Mixed Steel Any One-Handed Sword & Buckler
8W · 1L
(89%)
Messer
5W · 6L (45%)
Messer
5W · 6L (45%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 40% vs older 60%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 40% vs older 60%
Record: 5W · 6L (45%)
Recent half (5 fights): 40%
Older half (5 fights): 60%
Delta: -20%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 11 recorded messer fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 43%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 43%
Pool stage: 3W · 4L (43%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Sidesword
5W · 6L (45%)
Sidesword
5W · 6L (45%)
Form
Steady
Recent 40% vs older 40%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 40% vs older 40%
Record: 5W · 6L (45%)
Recent half (5 fights): 40%
Older half (5 fights): 40%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 11 recorded sidesword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 43% · Elim 33%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 43% · Elim 33%
Pool stage: 3W · 4L (43%)
Elimination: 1W · 2L (33%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Mixed Weapon
4W · 1L · 1D (67%)
Mixed Weapon
4W · 1L · 1D (67%)
Form
Building
67% win rate · 6 fights
▾
Form
Building
67% win rate · 6 fights
Record: 4W · 1L · 1D (67%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 6 recorded mixed weapon fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Rapier & Dagger
2W · 4L (33%)
Rapier & Dagger
2W · 4L (33%)
Form
Building
33% win rate · 6 fights
▾
Form
Building
33% win rate · 6 fights
Record: 2W · 4L (33%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 6 recorded rapier & dagger fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
Pool stage: 2W · 4L (33%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
11 events · 3 countries · 4.9 yrs active
3 rated weapons
▾
Reach
11 events · 3 countries · 4.9 yrs active
3 rated weapons
Tournaments: 11
Countries fought in: 3 (nz, us, ca)
Months active: 59
Fights / year: 29.9
Rated weapons: 3
Clubmates
·
Dueling Weapons Academy of Renaissance Fencing●
(30)
- Greg Tsagris●
- Matthew Avila●
- Kieron Rowe●
- Colin Sharkey●
- Anna Thompson●
- Steve Cromwell●
- John Thompson●
- Daniel Ford●
- Samantha West●
- Kaitlyn Rose●
- Josephine Schryer●
- Aaron Finos●
- Andrew Werner●
- Matthew Brant●
- Cody King●
- Marco Wiegand●
- Eric St. Pierre●
- Justin Holmes●
- Gwen Lang●
- Scott Green●
- Ryan Bishop●
- CodyAllan Ferguson●
- Darius Romanowski●
- Lincoln Tsagris●
- Lesya Holowczenko●
- Craig MacDonald●
- Heather Staton●
- Laure-Anne Larose●
- Mel Tralla●
- Laura Prevett●
Events & fights
(11)
The Krieg 2026●
April 2026 · ca
10 fights
▾
April 2026 · ca
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 801 ▲53 · 1,473.4
WIN
1242 84%
King's Cup HEMA Tournament (Blades of Glory) 2025●
September 2025 · ca
11 fights
▾
September 2025 · ca
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 738 ▲39 · 1,471.6
LOSS
1506 39%
WIN
Matthew Avila●
·
Dueling Weapons Academy of Renaissance Fencing●
Mixed Weapon
· Consolation Quarter Finals
16 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 742 ▼13 · 1,466.0
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 590 ▲98 · 1,337.5
LOSS
1507 40%
WIN
1148 54%
14 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 729 ▲137 · 1,465.2
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 223 ▼81 · 1,446.0
Spring Steel 2025●
March 2025 · ca
9 fights
▾
March 2025 · ca
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 142 ▲344 · 1,525.0
WIN
16 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 740 ▲216 · 1,414.7
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 453 ▼6 · 1,304.8
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 490 · 1,072.7
AG Open 2024●
September 2024 · us
13 fights
▾
September 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 699 ▲112 · 1,439.6
WIN
Frost on the Blade 2023●
November 2023 · ca
21 fights
▾
November 2023 · ca
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 866 ▲833 · 1,365.8
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 389 ▲305 · 1,290.3
WIN
Anna Thompson●
·
Dueling Weapons Academy of Renaissance Fencing●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 7-6
Review →
1095 62%
WIN
Andrew Werner●
·
Dueling Weapons Academy of Renaissance Fencing●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 7-0
Review →
WIN
744 69%
LOSS
Xuanran Qi●
·
Advanced Swordsmanship Technique Recreation Academy●
Longsword
· Quarterfinals
Score 1-7
Review →
1682 15%
LOSS
Andrew Werner●
·
Dueling Weapons Academy of Renaissance Fencing●
Sabre
· Pool Set 2
Score 7-0
Review →
WIN
Anna Thompson●
·
Dueling Weapons Academy of Renaissance Fencing●
Sabre
· Pool Set 2
Score 7-6
Review →
1115 53%
8 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1641 ▲677 · 1,188.5
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword Rank 252 ▲37 · 1,165.9
LOSS
AG Open 2023●
May 2023 · us
4 fights
▾
May 2023 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2097 ▼437 · 1,054.4
Unicorn Fight Club 2021●
June 2021 · nz
25 fights
▾
June 2021 · nz
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1249 · 1,134.9
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 448 · 1,102.2
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 202 · 1,264.0
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword Rank 95 · 1,101.1
LOSS
Jason Hooper●
·
Canterbury Historical Fencing Club●
Sword & Buckler
· Gold Medal Match
Score 1-3
Review →
WIN
LOSS
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.