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John Nelson
Inactive 36m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Current
1227
#1,172
Peak
1247
June 2024
Record
6W · 7L
Last
June 2024
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1290
Peak
1313
September 2023
Record
4W · 2L · 2D
Last
September 2023
Scout analysis
Sabre
6W · 7L (46%)
Sabre
6W · 7L (46%)
Form
Rising
Recent 67% vs older 33%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 67% vs older 33%
Record: 6W · 7L (46%)
Recent half (6 fights): 67%
Older half (6 fights): 33%
Delta: +34%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 13 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Punching up
+0.9 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
+0.9 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Over/under vs expectation:
+0.9
(3 actual / 2.1 expected, n=5)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 20%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 20%
Pool stage: 1W · 4L (20%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1227
Peak rating: 1247 (June 2024)
Gap to peak: -19
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Longsword
4W · 2L · 2D (50%)
Longsword
4W · 2L · 2D (50%)
Form
Rising
Recent 75% vs older 25%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 75% vs older 25%
Record: 4W · 2L · 2D (50%)
Recent half (4 fights): 75%
Older half (4 fights): 25%
Delta: +50%
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 8 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 67%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 67%
Pool stage: 4W · 2L (67%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
22 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
22 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1290
Peak rating: 1313 (September 2023)
Gap to peak: -22
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
3 events · us · 1 yrs active
2 rated weapons
▾
Reach
3 events · us · 1 yrs active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 3
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 12
Fights / year: 21
Rated weapons: 2
Clubmates
·
New Haven Historical Fencing●
(18)
Events & fights
(3)
8 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 604 ▲507 · 1,247.0
5 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 761 · 998.1
8 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1004 · 1,313.5
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.