Checking for newer data...
Newer data is available for this fighter.
Lucas Caldwell
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Current
1136
#1,643
Peak
1143
November 2025
Record
6W · 8L
Last
November 2025
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
1192
#3,219
Peak
1205
October 2025
Record
23W · 30L
Last
October 2025
Scout analysis
Longsword
23W · 30L (43%)
Longsword
23W · 30L (43%)
Form
Rising
Recent 54% vs older 31%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 54% vs older 31%
Record: 23W · 30L (43%)
Recent half (26 fights): 54%
Older half (26 fights): 31%
Delta: +23%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 53 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Punching up
-3 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
-3 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 2
Over/under vs expectation:
-3
(10 actual / 13 expected, n=34)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 42% · Elim 50%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 42% · Elim 50%
Pool stage: 15W · 21L (42%)
Elimination: 5W · 5L (50%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1192
Peak rating: 1205 (October 2025)
Gap to peak: -13
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword
19W · 25L
(43%)
-2.5 vs expectation
(n=26)
avg opponent 1236
Mixed Steel Longsword (Open)
4W · 5L
(44%)
-0.5 vs expectation
(n=8)
avg opponent 1126
Messer
13W · 17L (43%)
Messer
13W · 17L (43%)
Form
Rising
Recent 53% vs older 33%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 53% vs older 33%
Record: 13W · 17L (43%)
Recent half (15 fights): 53%
Older half (15 fights): 33%
Delta: +20%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 30 recorded messer fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 43% · Elim 33%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 43% · Elim 33%
Pool stage: 10W · 13L (43%)
Elimination: 1W · 2L (33%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Sabre
6W · 8L (43%)
Sabre
6W · 8L (43%)
Form
Rising
Recent 57% vs older 29%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 57% vs older 29%
Record: 6W · 8L (43%)
Recent half (7 fights): 57%
Older half (7 fights): 29%
Delta: +28%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 14 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Punching up
+1.5 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
+1.5 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 2
Over/under vs expectation:
+1.5
(3 actual / 1.5 expected, n=5)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
Pool stage: 6W · 6L (50%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1136
Peak rating: 1143 (November 2025)
Gap to peak: -6
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
8 events · us · 2.3 yrs active
2 rated weapons
▾
Reach
8 events · us · 2.3 yrs active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 8
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 28
Fights / year: 41.6
Rated weapons: 2
Clubmates
·
Gem City Duelists Society●
(20)
- Samuel Ryals●
- Thomas Kesler●
- J.J. Conlon●
- David Reddy●
- Joseph Hochadel●
- Logan Caldwell●
- Jonathan Rose●
- Camden Brown●
- Random Allen●
- Derek Peterson●
- Jacob Singley●
- James Rutherford●
- Christopher Carbonell●
- Crystal Delforge●
- Jason Sikora●
- Taylor Goeman●
- Saniyah Brockman●
- Scott Kitchen●
- Kent Fagan●
- Tyland Steiner●
Events & fights
(8)
6 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 1376 ▲929 · 1,143.4
Duel For The Jewel 2025●
October 2025 · us
17 fights
▾
October 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2734 ▲437 · 1,205.3
Duel For The Jewel 2024●
October 2024 · us
17 fights
▾
October 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2368 ▲32 · 1,166.3
WIN
948 56%
LOSS
1074 51%
LOSS
1326 30%
LOSS
Alexander Brindley●
·
Nashville School of Historical Fencing●
Messer
· Pool Set 1
Score 2-6
Review →
LOSS
Alexander Brindley●
·
Nashville School of Historical Fencing●
Messer
· Quarterfinals
Score 2-6
Review →
Queen's Gambit 2024●
July 2024 · us
18 fights
▾
July 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2303 ▲694 · 1,154.0
Queen's Gambit 2023●
July 2023 · us
7 fights
▾
July 2023 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2340 · 1,046.6
14 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2518 ▼449 · 1,057.8
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 1047 · 906.6
Duel For The Jewel 2023●
October 2023 · us
12 fights
▾
October 2023 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2069 ▲390 · 1,118.8
6 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2371 ▼31 · 1,042.3
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.