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Sterling Baldwin
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
1521
#609
Peak
1551
July 2025
Record
37W · 19L · 951D
Last
May 2026
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Current
1258
#604
Peak
1261
April 2026
Record
4W · 2L
Last
April 2026
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Current
1336
#813
Peak
1367
July 2024
Record
11W · 8L
Last
July 2025
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword
Inactive
Current
1113
Peak
1127
July 2024
Record
2W · 3L
Last
July 2024
Scout analysis
Longsword
37W · 19L · 1D (65%)
Longsword
37W · 19L · 1D (65%)
Form
Steady
Recent 64% vs older 68%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 64% vs older 68%
Record: 37W · 19L · 1D (65%)
Recent half (28 fights): 64%
Older half (28 fights): 68%
Delta: -4%
Current streak: 3 Losses
Based on 57 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
+6.2 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
+6.2 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 3
Over/under vs expectation:
+6.2
(33 actual / 26.8 expected, n=50)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Measured
22 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Measured
22 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 1.36
Avg exchanges / match: 7.2
Doubles / match: 0.82
First scorer rate: 50%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 31%
Comeback wins (was behind): 94%
Stage
Balanced
Pool 67% · Elim 80%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 67% · Elim 80%
Pool stage: 26W · 13L (67%)
Elimination: 8W · 2L (80%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
30 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
30 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1521
Peak rating: 1551 (July 2025)
Gap to peak: -30
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword
21W · 8L
(72%)
+2.9 vs expectation
(n=22)
avg opponent 1217
Mixed Steel Longsword (Tier A)
6W · 6L
(50%)
+0.7 vs expectation
(n=12)
avg opponent 1565
Mixed Steel Longsword (Tier C)
7W · 1L
(88%)
+3.1 vs expectation
(n=8)
avg opponent 1036
+8 fights in 2 thinner divisions
Sabre
11W · 8L (58%)
Sabre
11W · 8L (58%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 44% vs older 67%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 44% vs older 67%
Record: 11W · 8L (58%)
Recent half (9 fights): 44%
Older half (9 fights): 67%
Delta: -23%
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 19 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-0.8 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-0.8 vs expectation
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 2
Over/under vs expectation:
-0.8
(6 actual / 6.8 expected, n=12)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 69%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 69%
Pool stage: 11W · 5L (69%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
31 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
31 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1336
Peak rating: 1367 (July 2024)
Gap to peak: -31
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Sabre
9W · 6L
(60%)
-0.6 vs expectation
(n=8)
avg opponent 1259
+4 fights in 1 thinner division
Messer
6W · 4L · 4D (43%)
Messer
6W · 4L · 4D (43%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 29% vs older 57%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 29% vs older 57%
Record: 6W · 4L · 4D (43%)
Recent half (7 fights): 29%
Older half (7 fights): 57%
Delta: -28%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 14 recorded messer fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
7 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Fast starter
7 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 1.7
Avg exchanges / match: 8
Doubles / match: 2
First scorer rate: 71%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 40%
Comeback wins (was behind): 60%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 67%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 67%
Pool stage: 6W · 3L (67%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Messer
3W · 3L · 3D
(33%)
+5 fights in 1 thinner division
Sword & Buckler
4W · 2L (67%)
Sword & Buckler
4W · 2L (67%)
Form
Building
67% win rate · 6 fights
▾
Form
Building
67% win rate · 6 fights
Record: 4W · 2L (67%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 6 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 67%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 67%
Pool stage: 4W · 2L (67%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1258
Peak rating: 1261 (April 2026)
Gap to peak: -3
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Sidesword
2W · 3L (40%)
Sidesword
2W · 3L (40%)
Form
Building
40% win rate · 5 fights
▾
Form
Building
40% win rate · 5 fights
Record: 2W · 3L (40%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 5 recorded sidesword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
Pool stage: 2W · 2L (50%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1113
Peak rating: 1127 (July 2024)
Gap to peak: -14
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
12 events · 2 countries · 2.6 yrs active
4 rated weapons
▾
Reach
12 events · 2 countries · 2.6 yrs active
4 rated weapons
Tournaments: 12
Countries fought in: 2 (us, mx)
Months active: 31
Fights / year: 39.1
Rated weapons: 4
Clubmates
·
San Diego Swordfighters●
(53)
- Daniel Zimet●
- Jane Strange●
- Jason Hughes●
- Max Zimet●
- Matthew Dominguez●
- Liam Ecker●
- Aisling Gorgon●
- Alan West●
- Jason Woo●
- Jonathan Pena●
- Jin Huo●
- Nicholas Schottle●
- Rebecca Thompson●
- Evy Weiland●
- Mike Ricciardi●
- Lu Yang●
- Jonathan McPherson●
- Judah Hughes●
- Parker McCarthy●
- Victoria Perez●
- Jordan Yonts●
- Connor McCluskey●
- Christopher Sears●
- Duke Loke●
- David Batchman●
- Louise Xu●
- Bryndan Bedel●
- Jaron Kam●
- Julio Navarro●
- Josh Jones●
- Ian Elkind●
- Madison Bivin●
- Ryan Taugher●
- Eric Sapien-Flanagan●
- Connor Carvajal●
- Cynthia On●
- Alexander Conway●
- Chris Yokoyama-Cons●
- Jonathon Lincoln●
- Mina Cono●
- Sarah Vest●
- James Richeliéu●
- Matthew Burk●
- Ron Landagan●
- Shane Moore●
- Taylor (TJ) Hankins●
- Adam Esparza●
- Chris Goldberg●
- Finn Biggs●
- Jakub Kalina●
- Michael Dupray●
- Stephen Sabo●
- Philip McGilvray●
Events & fights
(12)
SpringSteel 2026●
May 2026 · us
4 fights
▾
May 2026 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 573 ▼54 · 1,527.7
LOSS
1475 63%
Wine Country Sword Crush 2026●
April 2026 · us
11 fights
▾
April 2026 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 554 · 1,261.4
WIN
Nathaniel Montgomery●
·
Napa-Solano Historical Fencing Guild●
Sword & Buckler
· Pool Set 1
Score 2-1
Review →
1098
Cactus Cup 2025●
July 2025 · us
11 fights
▾
July 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 410 ▲25 · 1,551.8
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 569 ▲111 · 1,350.6
WIN
Abraham Madrid●
·
Phoenix Society of Historical Swordsmanship●
Longsword
· Pools
Score 5-3 · 1 double
Review →
1219 71%
SpringSteel 2025●
May 2025 · us
8 fights
▾
May 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 429 ▲33 · 1,542.2
WIN
Wine Country Sword Crush 2025●
April 2025 · us
6 fights
▾
April 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 462 ▲149 · 1,519.5
LoCal Swordfight 2025●
March 2025 · us
8 fights
▾
March 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 611 ▲92 · 1,478.9
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 599 ▲56 · 1,303.3
Torneo Regional Bajacaliforniano 2024●
December 2024 · mx
4 fights
▾
December 2024 · mx
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 681 ▲66 · 1,454.1
WIN
948 63%
Oktoberhau 2024●
October 2024 · us
11 fights
▾
October 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 722 ▲92 · 1,438.3
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 568 ▼206 · 1,275.6
LOSS
1608 27%
LOSS
Chandler Ryder●
·
Einhorn Los Angeles Historical Fencing Arts●
Sabre
· Eighth-Finals
Score 3-7
Review →
846 76%
Combat Con 2024●
July 2024 · us
13 fights
▾
July 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 780 · 1,415.1
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 367 · 1,367.7
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword Rank 389 · 1,127.2
WIN
Alex Palmer●
·
Davenriche European Martial Artes School●
Sabre
· Pool Set 1
Score 4-1 · 2 doubles
Review →
1324
SpringSteel 2024●
May 2024 · us
13 fights
▾
May 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 744 ▲481 · 1,413.5
WIN
Alejandro Salas Calvo●
·
Bärenstark - Escuela de Esgrima Antigua●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 6-4 · 1 double
Review →
1248 44%
LOSS
Chandler Ryder●
·
Einhorn Los Angeles Historical Fencing Arts●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 4-6
Review →
1136 69%
WIN
Hector Farias●
·
Einhorn Los Angeles Historical Fencing Arts●
Messer
· Pool Set 1
Score 7-0 · 1 double
Review →
WIN
Luis Arturo Alba Ramirez●
·
Axolotes Fencing Club●
Messer
· Pool Set 1
Score 7-5 · 1 double
Review →
SoCal Swordfight 2024●
February 2024 · us
8 fights
▾
February 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1162 ▲1960 · 1,309.5
WIN
1161 43%
WIN
Pablo Lizama●
·
Antelope Valley Kunst des Fechtens●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 7-0 · 2 doubles
Review →
739 57%
WIN
1077 49%
Oktoberhau 2023●
October 2023 · us
4 fights
▾
October 2023 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2911 · 968.8
WIN
Timo Elliott●
·
Einhorn Los Angeles Historical Fencing Arts●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 5-3
Review →
1159
LOSS
1467
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.