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Nicholas Chase

Swordguild Portland● · United States
Inactive 99m
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Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger
Inactive
Current
1048
Peak
1105 June 2018
Record
0W · 0L
Last
June 2018
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Inactive
Current
893
Peak
944 November 2016
Record
1W · 2L
Last
November 2016

Scout analysis

Rapier & Dagger

3W · 4L (43%)
Form
Building
43% win rate · 7 fights
▾
Record: 3W · 4L (43%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 7 recorded rapier & dagger fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 67%
▾
Pool stage: 2W · 1L (67%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Longsword

4W · 2L (67%)
Form
Building
67% win rate · 6 fights
▾
Record: 4W · 2L (67%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 6 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Sword & Buckler

1W · 2L (33%)
Form
Building
33% win rate · 3 fights
▾
Record: 1W · 2L (33%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 3 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
51 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Current rating: 893
Peak rating: 944 (November 2016)
Gap to peak: -51
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
2 events · us · 1.6 yrs active
2 rated weapons
▾
Tournaments: 2
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 19
Fights / year: 10.1
Rated weapons: 2

Clubmates · Swordguild Portland● (21)

Events & fights (2)

Rose City Classic 2016●
November 2016 · us
9 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 167 · 944.7
WIN
Eric Hardeman● · SoCal Swords● Sword & Buckler Score 8-0 Review →
LOSS
Sean Franklin● · Ars Gladii● Sword & Buckler Score 2-7 Review →
LOSS
Shawn Fackler● · Loyal Order of the Sword● Sword & Buckler Score 4-7 Review →
WIN
Reese Pollock● · Comox Valley Combat Guild● Longsword
WIN
Chris Bruce● · The Historical Combat Collective● Longsword
WIN
Morgan Garrett● · Citadel Combat Arena● Longsword
WIN
Andy Campbell● · The Historical Combat Collective● Longsword
LOSS
Kevin Campbell● · Blood and Iron Martial Arts● Longsword
LOSS
Joe Gundersen● · Blood and Iron Martial Arts● Longsword
All’s Faire HEMA Tournament 2018●
June 2018 · us
7 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 309 · 1,105.7
LOSS
Jason Prendergast● · Black Tigers● Rapier & Dagger · Bronze Medal
LOSS
Jason Prendergast● · Black Tigers● Rapier & Dagger · Elimination Pools
WIN
Preston Weller● · Grit-City Historical European Martial Arts● Rapier & Dagger · Elimination Pools
WIN
Mark Smead● · San Luis Valley Swordguild● Rapier & Dagger · Elimination Pools
LOSS
Tony Huang● · Black Tigers● Rapier & Dagger · Top 4
1163
LOSS
Jason Prendergast● · Black Tigers● Rapier & Dagger · Top 4
WIN
Dashiell Harrison● · Indes Ferox Gladio● Rapier & Dagger · Top 4
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.