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Paul Miller

Swordguild Portland● · United States
Inactive 116m
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Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Inactive
Current
694
Peak
752 February 2017
Record
0W · 5L
Last
February 2017
Mixed & Men's Singlestick
Inactive
Current
628
Peak
685 August 2015
Record
0W · 2L
Last
August 2015

Scout analysis

Sabre

0W · 5L (0%)
Form
Building
0% win rate · 5 fights
▾
Record: 0W · 5L (0%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 5 Losses
Based on 5 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
58 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Current rating: 694
Peak rating: 752 (February 2017)
Gap to peak: -58
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Singlestick

0W · 2L (0%)
Form
Building
0% win rate · 2 fights
▾
Record: 0W · 2L (0%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 2 recorded singlestick fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
57 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Current rating: 628
Peak rating: 685 (August 2015)
Gap to peak: -57
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
2 events · us · 1.5 yrs active
2 rated weapons
▾
Tournaments: 2
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 18
Fights / year: 4.7
Rated weapons: 2

Clubmates · Swordguild Portland● (21)

Events & fights (2)

PNW HEMA Gathering 2015●
August 2015 · us
2 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Singlestick Rank 48 · 685.8
LOSS
Tony Huang● · Black Tigers● Singlestick
1125
LOSS
Ksenia Kozhevnikova● · The Historical Combat Collective● Singlestick
897
Winter's End 2017●
February 2017 · us
No match-level data
5 fights ▾
LOSS
Brent Lambell● · Drei Wunder Wma● Sabre
LOSS
Steve Malinson● Sabre
LOSS
Dashiell Harrison● · Indes Ferox Gladio● Sabre
LOSS
Matthew Roche● · Lonin League● Sabre
LOSS
Kevin de Ridder● · Blood and Iron Martial Arts● Sabre
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.