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Bill McCarel
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
1118
#4,013
Peak
1154
January 2026
Record
18W · 36L · 1D
Last
April 2026
Mixed & Men's Singlestick
Current
850
#443
Peak
852
April 2026
Record
1W · 6L
Last
April 2026
Scout analysis
Longsword
18W · 36L · 1D (33%)
Longsword
18W · 36L · 1D (33%)
Form
Rising
Recent 37% vs older 26%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 37% vs older 26%
Record: 18W · 36L · 1D (33%)
Recent half (27 fights): 37%
Older half (27 fights): 26%
Delta: +11%
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 55 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-6.4 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-6.4 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 2
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 4
Over/under vs expectation:
-6.4
(7 actual / 13.4 expected, n=34)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 33% · Elim 25%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 33% · Elim 25%
Pool stage: 14W · 28L (33%)
Elimination: 1W · 3L (25%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
35 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
35 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1118
Peak rating: 1154 (January 2026)
Gap to peak: -35
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword
6W · 20L · 1D
(22%)
-5.4 vs expectation
(n=18)
avg opponent 1284
Mixed Steel Longsword (Steel Brawl)
3W · 5L
(38%)
-1.6 vs expectation
(n=6)
avg opponent 1040
+20 fights in 3 thinner divisions
Singlestick
1W · 6L (14%)
Singlestick
1W · 6L (14%)
Form
Building
14% win rate · 7 fights
▾
Form
Building
14% win rate · 7 fights
Record: 1W · 6L (14%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 7 recorded singlestick fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 14%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 14%
Pool stage: 1W · 6L (14%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 850
Peak rating: 852 (April 2026)
Gap to peak: -2
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Mixed Weapon
3W · 3L · 1D (43%)
Mixed Weapon
3W · 3L · 1D (43%)
Form
Building
43% win rate · 7 fights
▾
Form
Building
43% win rate · 7 fights
Record: 3W · 3L · 1D (43%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 7 recorded mixed weapon fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
Pool stage: 3W · 3L (50%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
8 events · us · 1.4 yrs active
2 rated weapons
▾
Reach
8 events · us · 1.4 yrs active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 8
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 17
Fights / year: 48.7
Rated weapons: 2
Clubmates
·
Indianapolis Fencing Club●
(40)
- Caleb Bonsack●
- Daniel Wogan●
- Christian Achgill●
- Justin Moore●
- Nick Shepard●
- Jennifer McCarel●
- Grant List●
- Natalie Chaykina●
- Bill Cundiff●
- Jonathan Daugherty●
- Beth Cundiff●
- Connor DeBruyn●
- Ross Piedmonte●
- Nicole Bosserman●
- Jon Fenex Green●
- Paul Geraci●
- Geoff Ginther●
- Matt Denton●
- Cameron A Radtke●
- Matthew Chaifetz●
- Isaac Chaifetz●
- Vincent Zhao●
- Kyle Coleman●
- Kyle Klezmer●
- LeRoy Brown●
- Benjamin Wagner●
- Evan Hughes●
- Christopher Guadalupe●
- John Giannerini●
- John Ciancone●
- Joshua Wenzler●
- Lucas Welch●
- Troy Helm●
- Zoe Badía●
- Brian Fane●
- Caleb Baker●
- Ember Williams●
- Dylan Williams●
- Jacob Carter●
- Junhyun An●
Events & fights
(8)
20 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 3780 ▼355 · 1,123.6
- Mixed & Men's Singlestick Rank 436 · 852.3
LOSS
1376 21%
Unicorn Cup 2026●
January 2026 · us
7 fights
▾
January 2026 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 3270 ▲209 · 1,154.5
7 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 3426 ▲173 · 1,136.3
AG Open 2025●
September 2025 · us
7 fights
▾
September 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 3539 ▲430 · 1,112.4
WIN
859 71%
7 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 3903 ▲252 · 1,065.8
LOSS
1287 26%
LOSS
1458 14%
LOSS
8 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 4078 ▼38 · 1,030.5
Unicorn Cup 2025●
January 2025 · us
7 fights
▾
January 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 3684 ▼501 · 1,013.3
Circle City Steel Clash - Autumn 2024●
November 2024 · us
6 fights
▾
November 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 3132 · 1,074.3
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.