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Michele Gulley

HEMA Lexington · United States
Inactive 39m

Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Current
1423 #270
Peak
1427 February 2026
Record
20W · 16L · 3D
Last
February 2026
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword Regional
Current
1105 #492
Peak
1110 October 2025
Record
3W · 5L
Last
October 2025
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
1151 #3,476
Peak
1225 June 2024
Record
25W · 33L · 1D
Last
August 2025
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Current
618 #3,151
Peak
624 July 2025
Record
0W · 5L
Last
July 2025
Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1467
Peak
1495 June 2023
Record
25W · 33L · 1D
Last
June 2023
Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger
Inactive
Current
857
Peak
875 June 2023
Record
0W · 0L
Last
June 2023

Scout analysis

Longsword

25W · 33L · 1D (42%)
Form
Steady
Recent 38% vs older 45%
Record: 25W · 33L · 1D (42%)
Recent half (29 fights): 38%
Older half (29 fights): 45%
Delta: -7%
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 59 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Punching up
-2.3 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 3
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under vs expectation: -2.3 (7 actual / 9.3 expected, n=26)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
5 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 2.15
Avg exchanges / match: 8.6
Doubles / match: 1
First scorer rate: 60%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 0%
Comeback wins (was behind): 75%
Stage
Knockout killer
Pool 43% · Elim 63%
Pool stage: 20W · 26L (43%)
Elimination: 5W · 3L (63%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
28 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1467
Peak rating: 1495 (June 2023)
Gap to peak: -28
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword 16W · 30L · 1D (34%) -2.3 vs expectation (n=23) avg opponent 1251
Underrepresented Genders Steel Longsword 9W · 3L (75%) avg opponent 1266

Sword & Buckler

20W · 16L · 3D (51%)
Form
Rising
Recent 68% vs older 32%
Record: 20W · 16L · 3D (51%)
Recent half (19 fights): 68%
Older half (19 fights): 32%
Delta: +36%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 39 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Punching up
+0.6 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under vs expectation: +0.6 (6 actual / 5.4 expected, n=13)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 56% · Elim 50%
Pool stage: 15W · 12L (56%)
Elimination: 2W · 2L (50%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1423
Peak rating: 1427 (February 2026)
Gap to peak: -4
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.

Sidesword

3W · 5L (38%)
Form
Rising
Recent 50% vs older 25%
Record: 3W · 5L (38%)
Recent half (4 fights): 50%
Older half (4 fights): 25%
Delta: +25%
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 8 recorded sidesword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 25%
Pool stage: 1W · 3L (25%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1105
Peak rating: 1110 (October 2025)
Gap to peak: -5
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.

Sabre

0W · 5L (0%)
Form
Building
0% win rate · 5 fights
Record: 0W · 5L (0%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 5 Losses
Based on 5 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 0%
Pool stage: 0W · 4L (0%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 618
Peak rating: 624 (July 2025)
Gap to peak: -6
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.

Messer

2W · 3L (40%)
Form
Building
40% win rate · 5 fights
Record: 2W · 3L (40%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 5 recorded messer fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
Pool stage: 2W · 2L (50%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.

Rapier & Dagger

1W · 2L (33%)
Form
Building
33% win rate · 3 fights
Record: 1W · 2L (33%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 3 recorded rapier & dagger fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
Pool stage: 1W · 2L (33%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
Reach
10 events · us · 4.5 yrs active
5 rated weapons
Tournaments: 10
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 54
Fights / year: 26.4
Rated weapons: 5

Clubmates · HEMA Lexington (16)

Events & fights (11)

LynxCup 2026
February 2026 · us
No match-level data
8 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 262 ▲53 · 1,427.4
WIN
LOSS
Thomas Kesler · Gem City Duelists Society Sword & Buckler · Pool
1364 53%
WIN
WIN
Jason Feldman · Queen City Sword Guild Sword & Buckler · Pool
1265 53%
WIN
LOSS
Samuel Ryals · Gem City Duelists Society Sword & Buckler · Pool
1742 18%
LOSS
Thomas Kesler · Gem City Duelists Society Sword & Buckler · Table of 16
1364 53%
WIN
Paul Schroeder · Two Ravens Fencing School Sword & Buckler · Table of 32
15 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 308 ▲122 · 1,389.1
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword Rank 461 · 1,110.7
LOSS
Tyland Steiner · Gem City Duelists Society Sidesword · Bronze Medal Match
LOSS
WIN
LOSS
LOSS
LOSS
WIN
1141
WIN
Steven Corwin · Unaffiliated Sword & Buckler · !! Attention !! Excluded From Scoring Calculations Pools Score 2-0 Review →
WIN
Saoirse Nies · Hilt and Helm Pittsburgh Fencing Club Sword & Buckler · Pools Score 10-6 Review →
WIN
Adam Whaley · Hilt and Helm Pittsburgh Fencing Club Sword & Buckler · Pools Score 10-9 Review →
1202 59%
WIN
LOSS
Fionn Kusnir · Hilt and Helm Pittsburgh Fencing Club Sword & Buckler · Pools Score 8-10 Review →
WIN
Casey Brienza · Hilt and Helm Pittsburgh Fencing Club Sword & Buckler · Pools Score 10-5 Review →
LOSS
Swordsquatch 2025
August 2025 · us
14 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 3035 ▲166 · 1,163.2
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 425 ▲410 · 1,315.5
LOSS
1051 54%
WIN
LOSS
1820 2%
WIN
1448 18%
LOSS
1314 26%
LOSS
1445 19%
LOSS
Samuel Ryals · Gem City Duelists Society Sword & Buckler · Final
1727 13%
WIN
Daniel Blair · Queen City Sword Guild Sword & Buckler · Pool
WIN
WIN
Rob Cox · Columbus United Fencing Club Sword & Buckler · Pool
LOSS
WIN
J.J. Conlon · Gem City Duelists Society Sword & Buckler · Semifinal
1584 20%
WIN
Katie Letsinger · Columbus United Fencing Club Sword & Buckler · Table of 16
776 62%
WIN
1152 50%
11 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 3201 ▼433 · 1,138.8
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 2507 · 624.4
LOSS
1062 50%
DRAW
LOSS
LOSS
Caleb Bonsack · Indianapolis Fencing Club Longsword · Pools Score 3-7 Review →
1533 18%
LOSS
1360 28%
LOSS
Bill McCarel · Indianapolis Fencing Club Longsword · Top 38 Score 8-9 Review →
1029 65%
LOSS
984
LOSS
1172
LOSS
Zachary Chen · Vanguard Fencing Club Sabre · Pools Score 4-7 Review →
LOSS
978
LOSS
Philip Gentry · Cookeville HEMA Club Sabre · Top 21 Score 3-9 Review →
937
6 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2172 ▼281 · 1,193.7
LOSS
Nick Bush · Atlanta Historical Fencing Academy Longsword · Elimination Bracket
LOSS
Joel Conley · St. Louis HEMA Association Longsword · Pool Set 1
1026 52%
LOSS
1361 40%
WIN
LOSS
1721 10%
LOSS
7 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1774 ▲920 · 1,225.3
WIN
Christopher Dowling · HEMA Lexington Longsword · Eighth-Finals
WIN
Steven Jennett · Nashville School of Historical Fencing Longsword · Pool Set 1 Score 5-3 · 1 double Review →
LOSS
1587 12%
WIN
Gerard Averill · Nashville School of Historical Fencing Longsword · Pool Set 1 Score 5-4 · 1 double Review →
1399 24%
WIN
Keegan Jones · Nashville School of Historical Fencing Longsword · Pool Set 1 Score 5-3 · 1 double Review →
WIN
Alex Hernandez · Nashville School of Historical Fencing Longsword · Pool Set 1 Score 4-1 · 2 doubles Review →
LOSS
Jeremy Nidiffer · Nashville School of Historical Fencing Longsword · Quarterfinals Score 6-7 Review →
1077 38%
SERFO 2023
June 2023 · us
No match-level data
13 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2018 ▲158 · 1,089.7
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 495 · 875.3
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 502 ▼40 · 1,113.9
  • Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Longsword Rank 52 ▲4 · 1,495.8
WIN
Matthew Dixon · Motus Historia Longsword · Pool Set 1
954 43%
LOSS
Randy Moore · Rocket City HEMA Longsword · Pool Set 1
1174 35%
WIN
Ed Wells · Schola St. George Longsword · Pool Set 1
836 66%
WIN
Molly Broyles · Rocket City HEMA Longsword · Eighth-Finals
WIN
1050 72%
WIN
800 77%
LOSS
1531 49%
WIN
808
LOSS
Randi Cramer · University of West Florida Fencing Rapier & Dagger · Pool Set 1
1125
LOSS
Jacob Pendergraft · Athens School of Arms Rapier & Dagger · Pool Set 1
1326
LOSS
Sam Spruill · Clemson Longsword Sword & Buckler · Pool Set 1
757 60%
WIN
Jay Luo · Atlanta Historical Fencing Academy Sword & Buckler · Pool Set 1
1134 44%
LOSS
Derek Wise · Boston Armizare Sword & Buckler · Pool Set 1
1541 22%
SoCal Swordfight 2023
March 2023 · us
7 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1959 ▲354 · 1,041.1
LOSS
LOSS
1388 19%
WIN
Spencer Waddell Longsword · Pool
WIN
WIN
1178 32%
LOSS
Ian Burgess-Linden · Crossing Fight School Longsword · Table of 64
SERFO 2022
June 2022 · us
No match-level data
14 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1579 ▼194 · 927.6
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 251 ▼38 · 1,103.5
  • Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Longsword Rank 29 · 1,477.4
LOSS
Stevi Parker · Bucks Historical Longsword Longsword · Pool Set 1
1320 28%
LOSS
1530 15%
LOSS
Johann Lopez · Bold City Longsword Longsword · Pool Set 1
1076 40%
WIN
Kaitlyn Sumpter · Maryland Kunst des Fechtens Longsword · Eighth-Finals
1341
LOSS
Veronica Young · Atlanta Historical Fencing Academy Longsword · Gold Medal Match
1199
WIN
Alyssa Capel · Bucks Historical Longsword Longsword · Pool Set 1
967
LOSS
Courtney Nix · Schola St. George Longsword · Pool Set 1
WIN
Dori Coblentz · Decatur School of Arms Longsword · Pool Set 1
WIN
Amber Damare · Nachreisen Historical Fencing Longsword · Quarterfinals
1422
WIN
C. Burns · Maryland Kunst des Fechtens Longsword · Semifinals
1715
LOSS
Bradley Smith · Denver Historical Fencing Academy Sword & Buckler · Pool Set 1
1487 30%
LOSS
Matthew Dixon · Motus Historia Sword & Buckler · Pool Set 1
DRAW
Emily Jennings · Ritterkunst Fechtschule Sword & Buckler · Pool Set 1
Steel City Open 2021
September 2021 · us
19 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1616 · 954.0
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 280 · 1,117.5
LOSS
Elanora Dovat · Unaffiliated Longsword · Pool Set 1
1072
LOSS
976
LOSS
1106
LOSS
1079
WIN
Ryan Assi · The HEMA Club at VCU Longsword · Pool Set 2
1503
WIN
Cody Green · Steel City Historical Fencing Longsword · Pool Set 2
1124
LOSS
885
LOSS
C. Burns · Maryland Kunst des Fechtens Longsword · Pool Set 2
1323
WIN
LOSS
Alexander Foster · Sword Circle-LLC Sword & Buckler · Eighth-Finals
WIN
Joe Leszcz · Black Bear Historical Fencing Sword & Buckler · Elimination Bracket
DRAW
Michael Kritselis · Sword Inquisition Sword & Buckler · Pool Set 1
WIN
John Dickens · HEMA Lexington Sword & Buckler · Pool Set 1
DRAW
Samuel Ryals · Gem City Duelists Society Sword & Buckler · Pool Set 1
LOSS
Joseph Castellano · Steel City Historical Fencing Sword & Buckler · Pool Set 1
LOSS
Connor Kemp-Cowell · Caledonian Sword Guild Sword & Buckler · Pool Set 2
WIN
Michael Kritselis · Sword Inquisition Sword & Buckler · Pool Set 2
LOSS
Alexander Foster · Sword Circle-LLC Sword & Buckler · Pool Set 2
LOSS
Nishchal Nigam · Steel City Historical Fencing Sword & Buckler · Pool Set 2
Queen's Court 2025
July 2025
No match-level data
5 fights
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.

Regional At least one of this fighter's ratings is "island" - their rank/percentile is relative to an isolated regional scene, not the global population. Cross-scene rating comparisons are unreliable.